Environmental and Resource Economics Review (자원ㆍ환경경제연구)

Korean Resource Economics Association (한국자원경제학회)
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Convergence in Per Capita CO2 Emission by Income Group

국가별 소득수준에 따른 1인당 CO2 배출량 수렴 분석

  • Cho, Hyangsuk (Department of Economics, Sungkyunkwan University)
  • 조향숙 (성균관대학교 경제학과)
  • Received : 2018.08.31
  • Accepted : 2018.11.13
  • Published : 2019.03.31
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Abstract

This study investigates the convergence in per capita $CO_2$ emission by income group for an unbalanced panel of 152 countries from 1980 to 2013 using beta and sigma convergence model. Absolute beta and sigma convergence differed by $CO_2$ emission reduction policies in each countries. Conditional beta convergence shows that per capita income has a negative effect on growth in per capita $CO_2$ emission. In particular, better-quality institutions and technology accelerated the negative effect of per capita income on the speed of convergence of per capita $CO_2$ emission in high-income countries. For middle-income countries, the growth of income affected the convergence of $CO_2$ emission per capita, but institutional quality has an insignificant impact. On the other hand, improvements in the level of technology have a mitigating effect on the negative impact of income in middle-income and low-income countries, contributing to the increase in $CO_2$ emission.

본 연구는 152개 국가의 불균형 패널 자료를 활용하여 1980~2013년 기간의 국가별 소득수준에 따른 1인당 $CO_2$ 배출 수렴 현상을 시그마 수렴 모형과 베타 수렴 모형을 통해 분석하였다. 절대적 베타 수렴과 시그마 수렴 현상은 $CO_2$ 배출 감축을 위한 국가별 정책 상황에 따라 소득 그룹별로, 기간별로 상이하게 나타났다. 조건부 베타 수렴 분석 결과, 고소득 국가에서 1인당 소득의 증가가 1인당 $CO_2$ 배출량 수렴에 기여하였으며 제도의 수준과 기술의 수준이 높을수록 소득의 증가가 배출량 수렴 속도를 더 빠르게 감소시키는 것으로 나타났다. 중소득 국가는 1인당 소득의 증가가 1인당 $CO_2$ 배출량 수렴에 영향을 미쳤으나, 제도의 수준은 유의미하지 않게 나타났다. 반면 중소득 국가와 저소득 국가의 기술 수준 향상은 1인당 $CO_2$ 배출량 수렴 속도를 늦추는 것으로 나타나 배출량 증가에 기여하는 것으로 분석되었다.

Keywords

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