Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology (한국농림기상학회지)

Korean Society of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology (한국농림기상학회)
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Uncertainty-based Decision on Mitigation of Nitrous Oxide Emissions in Upland Soil

불확도 기반 밭토양 아산화질소 배출 저감 여부 판정

  • Ju, Okjung (Interdisciplinary Program in Agricultural & Forest Meteorology, Seoul National University) ;
  • Kang, Namgoo (Science of Measurement Major, University of Science and Technology) ;
  • Lim, Gapjune (Environmental Agriculture Research Division, Gyeonggido Agricultural Research and Extension Services)
  • 주옥정 (서울대학교 협동과정 농림기상학전공) ;
  • 강남구 (과학기술연합대학원대학교 측정과학전공) ;
  • 임갑준 (경기도농업기술원 환경농업연구과)
  • Received : 2019.09.05
  • Accepted : 2019.12.23
  • Published : 2019.12.30
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Abstract

In the agricultural sector, greenhouse gas emissions vary depending on the interaction of all ecosystem changes such as soil environment, weather environment, crop growth, and anthropogenic farming activities. Agricultural sector greenhouse gas emissions resulting from many of these interactions are highly variable. Uncertainty-based evaluation that defines the interval with confidence level of greenhouse gas emission and absorption is necessary to take account of the variance characteristics of individual emissions, but research on uncertainty evaluation method is insufficient. This study aims to decide on the effect of reducing N2O emissions from upland soils using an uncertainty-based approach. An uncertainty-based approach confirmed whether there was a difference between confidence intervals in the 5 different fertilizer treatment groups to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Unlike the statistically significant test with three repetition averages, the uncertainty-based approach method estimated in this study is able to estimate the confidence interval considering the distribution characteristics of the emissions, such as the dispersion characteristics of individual emissions. Therefore, it is considered that the reliability of emissions can be improved by statistically testing the variance characteristics of emissions such as the uncertainty-based approach. It is hoped that the direction of the uncertainty-based approach for the effect of reducing greenhouse gas emissions in agriculture will be helpful in the future development of agricultural greenhouse gas emission reduction technology, adaptation to climate change, and further development of sustainable eco-social system.

농업 분야 온실가스 발생은 토양환경, 기상환경, 작물 생장 등 모든 생태계 변화와 인위적인 영농활동의 상호작용에 따라 변화하여 배출량 변동성의 크기가 매우 크므로 배출량 자료에 대한 신뢰구간 확보가 필요하다. 이에 온실가스 배출량 및 흡수량에 대한 신뢰구간을 정의하는 불확도 평가가 필요하지만 불확도 평가 방법에 대한 연구는 부족한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 밭토양에서 발생하는 N2O 배출량 저감 효과의 유의성을 불확도 추정기법을 통하여 판정하고자 하였다. 질소 비료 시비효과 증진 및 N2O 배출량 감소를 위한 요소분해효소 억제제 NBPT 함유 원예용 비료, 표준시비, 무시비 등 5처리 집단들의 신뢰구간에 차이가 있는지를 불확도 평가를 통해 확인하였으며, N2O 배출량 개별 자료들의 변동성을 모두 고려한 신뢰구간을 찾아내어 분석한 결과로 신뢰성 있는 저감 효과(처리간 차이)의 유무를 판정할 수 있었다. 또한 고추와 배추 재배지에서 요소분해효소 억제제 NBPT 함유 원예용 비료를 시용하면 표준시비와 같은 생육상황에서 온실가스 저감효과를 볼 수 있는 것으로 확인되었다.

Keywords

References

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