Journal of the Society of Disaster Information (한국재난정보학회 논문집)

The Korean Society of Disaster Information (한국재난정보학회)
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Transport Demand Management in Developing Countries and Climate Change

개발도상국의 교통수요관리와 기후변화

  • Lee, Shin (International School of Urban Sciences, University of Seoul)
  • Received : 2018.07.09
  • Accepted : 2018.09.05
  • Published : 2018.09.30
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Abstract

Purpose: The paper aims to compare the effectiveness of the two types of transport demand management measures, namely pull measures and push measures. Method: Case studies of two metropolitan areas in the developing world assess the extent to which increases in fuel prices can contribute to reducing automobile use and increasing the public transport use and the potential of urban rail transit to cause mode shift from automobiles. Within the case studies, a stated response survey of current car users has been conducted for Cairo and an on-line survey of rail transit users in Algiers. Results: There was a major proportion of car drivers who intend to switch to public transport, depending on the range of fuel prices in Cairo and a considerable proportion of rail users who have switched from automobiles resulting in a measurable reduction in CO2 emissions in Algiers. Conclusion: Investments in urban rail can be highly effective where there are demands for better public transport, but this type of pull measures can be much more effective if combined with push measures which significantly raise driving costs.

연구목적: 이 논문은 개발도상국가를 배경으로 하여 교통수요관리 기법 중 억제책(push measures)과 유인책(pull measure)의 효과성을 평가한다. 연구방법: 이들의 예가 실행된 두 개발도상국가의 대도시권, 카이로와 알제를 사례로 하여 연료가격 상승과 도시전철건설이 교통수단전환에 미치는 영향에 관한 정보를 설문조사를 통해 수집한다. 연구결과: 카이로의 경우 자동차이용자의 상당 비율이 연료가격 상승에 대한 대응으로서 대중교통으로의 전환 의도를 밝혔으며, 전환 여부는 대중교통을 과거에 사용한 경험 및 그 빈도수와 가장 밀접한 관계가 있었다. 알제의 경우 최근에 개통한 도시전철 사용자 중 전철개통 이전에 자동차이용자였던 교통수단전환자들의 연료사용 절감을 통해 3% 이산화탄소 배출 저감효과가 있었다. 결론: 도시전철에의 투자가 교통행태에 미치는 영향은 도시에 따라 크게 다를 수 있으며, 고품질의 대중교통에 대한 수요가 급증하고 있는 개발도상국의 대도시권에서는 수단전환과 기후변화완화효과가 기존 산업도시에 비해 현저히 클 수 있으며 특히 연료비 상승과 같은 억제책 기법과 복합적으로 사용될 경우 그 잠재효과가 매우 크다고 하겠다.

Keywords

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