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Economic Loss Assessment caused by Heavy Snowfall - Using Traffic Demand Model and Inoperability I-O Model

대설의 경제적 피해 - 교통수요모형과 불능투입산출모형의 적용

  • Accepted : 2018.11.06
  • Published : 2018.11.30

Abstract

Heavy snow is a natural disaster that causes serious economic damage. Since snowfall has been increasing recently, there is a need for measures against heavy snowfall. In order to make a policy decision on heavy snowfall, it is necessary to estimate the precise amount of damage by heavy snowfall. The direct damage of the heavy snow is severe, however the indirect damage caused by the road congestion and the urban dysfunction is also serious. Therefore, it is necessary to estimate indirect damage of snowfall. The purpose of this study is to estimate the effects on the regional economy from the limitation in traffic logistics caused by heavy snow using the transport demand model and inoperability input-output Model. The result shows that the amount of production loss caused by the heavy snow is KRW 2,460 billion per year and if the period of snowfall removal is shortened by one day or two days, it could be reduced to KRW 1,219 or 2,787 billion in production loss.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

Supported by : 한국연구재단

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