Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society (한국산학기술학회논문지)

The Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society (한국산학기술학회)
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Analysis on the Relationship between R&D Inputs and Performance by using Panel Data : Focus on Defense Industry

패널 데이터를 이용한 방위산업의 R&D 투입과 성과 관계 분석

  • Received : 2018.09.18
  • Accepted : 2018.12.07
  • Published : 2018.12.31
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Abstract

This study analyzes the relationship between R&D input and performance using panel data from the defense industry. A research model is established based on the R&D logic model, and the study sample consists of a strongly balanced panel data (n=351) empirically analyzed using panel linear regression. Results identified that defense improvement expenditure has a positive influence on the R&D input, and R&D input positively affected patents using a 5-year time lag. In addition, R&D input positively impacts economic performance, including sales and profit. Hence, the major finding includes R&D inputs have statistically significant effects on economic outcome and the R&D logic model featuring a time-lag.

연구개발비가 기업의 R&D 성과로 이어지는가에 대하여 상반된 선행연구들이 존재한다. 보통 기업의 R&D 투자와 성과는 국가별, 산업별, 거시경제 상황 등이 복합적으로 작용하므로 인과관계를 독립적으로 분리하여 분석할 수 없기 때문이다. 또한 R&D 성과는 후행지표로 투자 시점과 성과 시점 사이의 시차가 존재하여 R&D 투자와 성과 간의 관계를 분석하기 어렵다. 하지만 방위산업의 경우 방위력개선비를 통해 지속적으로 R&D 투자가 발생하고, 방산업체는 이를 사업비로 사용하여 연구개발이 진행되므로 R&D 성과를 확인하기가 비교적 용이하다. 본 연구는 방위산업을 대상으로 R&D 투자와 성과 간의 인과관계를 찾고, 성과에 영향을 미치는 요인을 분석한다. 방위사업법에 의해 지정된 총 100여개의 방산업체 중 R&D 성과지표 획득이 용이한 대기업 및 중견기업들을 대상으로 최근 10년간의 기술지표, 과학지표, 재무지표에 대한 패널 데이터를 수집했다. 이를 패널데이터 분석을 통해 분야별(화력, 항공유도, 함정, 통신전자) R&D 투입과 성과 관계를 확인하고, 어떤 요인이 성과에 영향을 미치는지 찾고자 한다. 본 연구 결과는 중장기 국방정책 수립 시 의사결정의 기초자료로 활용이 가능할 것으로 보인다.

Keywords

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Fig. 1. Research Framework

Table 1. Literature Review

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Table 2. ATP R&D Logic Model

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Table 3. Panel Data in Defense Industry

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Table 5. Pearson pair-wise correlation analysis

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Table 4. Summary and descriptive statistics

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Table 6. Panel analysis of Hypothesis 1

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Table 7. Panel analysis of Hypothesis 2

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Table 8. Panel analysis of Hypothesis 3

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Table 9. Panel analysis of Hypothesis 4

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