Ocean and Polar Research

Korea Institute of Ocean Science & Technology (한국해양과학기술원)
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Assessment of Vulnerability to Climate Change in Coastal and Offshore Fisheries of Korea under the RCP Scenarios: for the South Coast Region

RCP 시나리오를 적용한 한국 연근해어업의 기후변화 취약성 평가: 남해안 지역을 대상으로

  • Kim, Bong-Tae (Fisheries Policy Research Division, Korea Maritime Institute) ;
  • Lee, Joon-Soo (Climate Change Research Division, National Institute of Fisheries Science) ;
  • Suh, Young-Sang (Climate Change Research Division, National Institute of Fisheries Science)
  • 김봉태 (한국해양수산개발원 수산연구본부) ;
  • 이준수 (국립수산과학원 기후변화연구과) ;
  • 서영상 (국립수산과학원 기후변화연구과)
  • Received : 2018.01.10
  • Accepted : 2018.03.13
  • Published : 2018.03.30
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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to assess the climate change vulnerability of coastal and offshore fisheries in the South Sea of Korea using the RCP scenarios. Based on the vulnerability defined by IPCC, the indicator-based method was applied. Exposure indicator was calculated through weighted sum of the sea temperature and salinity forecasted by National Institute of Fisheries Science, and the weights were obtained from the time-space distribution of each fisheries. Sensitivity indicator was determined by applying the catch proportion of fisheries to the sensitivity of fish species. The adaptive capacity was measured by survey of fisheries which represent the ability of the fishermen well. As a result of summarizing the above indicators, vulnerability of coastal fisheries is higher than offshore fisheries. This shows that measures against coastal fisheries are needed. In addition, the results of each scenario are somewhat different, so it is considered that accurate prediction of climate change is important for adaptation measures.

Keywords

References

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