Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society (한국산학기술학회논문지)

The Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society (한국산학기술학회)
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The Study for Damage Effect Factors of Heavy Snowfall Disasters : Focused on Heavy Snowfall Disasters during the Period of 2005 to 2014

대설 재난의 피해액 결정요인에 관한 연구: 2005~2014년 대설재난을 중심으로

  • Kim, Geunyoung (Department of Real Estate and Construction, Kangnam University) ;
  • Joo, Hyuntae (Multi-Disciplinary Center for Ubiquitous Cities, Kangnam University) ;
  • Kim, HeeJae (Multi-Disciplinary Center for Ubiquitous Cities, Kangnam University)
  • 김근영 (강남대학교 부동산건설학부) ;
  • 주현태 (강남대학교 U-city융합연구소) ;
  • 김희재 (강남대학교 U-city융합연구소)
  • Received : 2017.10.13
  • Accepted : 2018.02.02
  • Published : 2018.02.28
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Abstract

Heavy snowfall disasters are the third most serious natural disasters, after typhoon and heavy rainfall disasters, in terms of economic disaster damage in South Korea. The average annual economic damage of heavy snowfall disasters was approximately eighty-eight billion won during the period of 2005-2014. In spite of significant economic damage, there have been few economic studies regarding heavy snowfall disasters in South Korea. The objective of this research is to identify the association between economic damage of heavy snowfall disasters and damage effect factors of snowfall amounts, snowfall days, population densities, and non-urban area ratios using a regression analysis model. Economic damage data sets of heavy snowfall disasters during the period of 2005-2014 were obtained from the Natural Disaster Yearbook published by the Ministry of Public Safety and Security. Weather-related data sets, such as snowfall amounts and snowfall days were collected from the Korea Meteorological Administration. Demographic and urban data sets, including population densities and non-urban area ratios, were provided by the Local Government Yearbook. Outcomes of this study can assist with heavy snowfall disaster management policies of South Korea.

대설 재난은 한국에서 태풍 및 호우 다음으로 두 번째로 많은 자연 재해라고 할 수 있다. 대설 재난으로 인한 2005년에서 2014년 사이의 연 평균 경제 피해액은 약 80억원이다. 심각한 경제적 피해에도 불구하고 한국에서 대설 재난에 대한 경제 효과 연구는 거의 없다. 본 연구의 목적은 다중 회귀모형을 이용하여, 대설 재난의 경제적 피해액과 강설량, 강설일, 인구밀도, 비도시지역 비율 및 수도권 더미 변수 등 간의 연관성을 확인하는 것이다. 2005년부터 2014년 사이의 대설 재난 피해액 관련 데이터는 행정안전부 (국민안전처)에서 발행하는 자연 재해 연보를 이용하였으며, 강설량 및 강설일과 같은 날씨 관련 데이터는 기상청에서 수집하였다. 인구와 비도시 관련 데이터는 지자체 통계 데이터를 사용하였다. 연구 결과 강설일, 강설량, 비 도시면적 비율 등이 대설 재난 피해에 영향을 주는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구의 결과는 한국의 대설 재난 관리 정책에 적용될 수 있다.

Keywords

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