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상관분석을 이용한 고령 운전자 사고특성에 따른 연령유형 연구

A Study on the Age Group of Elderly Driver's Accident Characteristics Using Correlation Analysis

  • 고은혁 (인천대학교 대학원) ;
  • 윤병조 (인천대학교 도시과학대학 도시공학과)
  • 투고 : 2017.08.30
  • 심사 : 2017.09.11
  • 발행 : 2017.10.01

초록

고령화가 급격한 속도로 진행되며 발생하는 문제 중 고령 운전자 사고는 해결되어야 하는 중요한 사회문제이며 사고를 감소하고자 하는 노력은 앞으로 맞이할 초고령 사회를 대비하기 위해 꼭 필요하다. 현재 고령자는 65세 이상으로 규정되어 있으며 이에 따라 고령 운전자 사고에 관련된 다양한 연구들은 65세를 기준으로 일반운전자와 고령 운전자를 구분하여 분석한다. 이러한 배경으로 인해 수용 가능한 정확도의 수준에서 실질적으로 교통약자로 분류되어야 하는 신체 능력을 갖춘 고령 운전자를 구분하는 기준은 제시되고 있지 않다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 상관분석을 이용하여 고령 운전자의 연령별 사고특성을 분석하여 연령군집별 사고 위험성을 비교하도록 한다. 분석결과 차종별 주요 사고특성에 대해 75세 이상의 경우 사고 발생에 미치는 영향력이 높아지는 것으로 나타났으며, 70세에서 80세 사이 구간에서 사고 발생 빈도가 상대적으로 낮았던 승용차에 대해서도 주요사고특성을 분석한 결과 75세 이상 84세 이하 구간에서 사고 발생에 대한 영향력이 높아지는 것이 두드러지게 나타났다. 이는 고령화가 진행되고 평균 수명이 늘어남으로써 고령자 구간 폭도 증가하는바, 고령자 내에서도 특성이 나뉘게 되며 본 연구를 통해 연령군집별로 사고 발생에 대한 영향력이 달라지는 것을 확인하였다.

With the rapid progress of ageing several issues concurrently occur, and one important social issue that must be resolved is accidents involving Elderly drivers. Efforts to reduce the frequency of such accidents is a must in order to be prepared to face a superaged society. Currently people aged 65 or older are prescribed as an "Elderly person." Therefore, various studies concerning accidents involving Elderly drivers apply this age criteria to separate regular drivers and Elderly drivers. However, there is no criteria to practically discern Elderly drivers with certain physical features as vulnerable road users based on a level of acceptable accuracy. Therefore, this studies intends to compare the possibility of accidents by age group of Elderly drivers by correlation analysis to analyze the accident characteristics by age group. Results showed that for drivers aged 75 and older, their influence on major accident characteristics by vehicle type increased with higher age groups. In particular, passenger cars had a relatively low accident frequency rate for drivers aged between 70 and 80, but for drivers aged 75 to 84, they had higher influence on accidents for the same vehicle type. This demonstrates that as ageing progresses and the average life expectancy increases, the age span of elders continues to increase, meaning that characteristics differ by age group among the aged. This study confirmed that the influence on the possibility of accidents differs by age group among the aged.

키워드

참고문헌

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