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Apply AEGL for Short Time Exposure Using Regression Curve

회귀곡선을 이용한 단시간 노출에 대한 AEGL의 적용

  • Lee, Hyunjin (Dept. of Chemical Engineering, Kwangwoon University) ;
  • Jeong, Taejun (Dept. of Chemical Engineering, Kwangwoon University) ;
  • Lee, Hyang-Jig (Dept. of Chemical Engineering, Kwangwoon University) ;
  • Jeong, Changmo (Dept. of Chemical Engineering, Kwangwoon University) ;
  • Ko, Jae-Wook (Dept. of Chemical Engineering, Kwangwoon University)
  • Received : 2017.04.03
  • Accepted : 2017.10.19
  • Published : 2017.10.30

Abstract

Thus, chemicals are managed under 9 related central government department and 16 relevant laws with program such as Process Safety Management and Offsite Consequence Analysis in korea. Guidelines for set the endpoint concentration for chemcals based on the ERPG-2 (Emergency Response Planning Guidelines-2) and AEGL-2 (Acute Exposure Guidelines Level-2). but ERPG and AEGL do not describe exposure for less than 10 minutes. because of this, each guidelines define criteria differently for short time less than 10 minutes exposure. This indefinite exposure criteria would give rise to a confusion in the chemical plants, and potentially lead to a critical decision making error when accidents happen. In an effort to apply guidelines with evenly-distributed initial time frame, AEGL concentrations within 10 minute exposure time were evaluated by examining statistical regression curves. The results were in good agreement with those from the Probit Function based on each AEGL grade to explain 3 different threshold levels of exposure effects. Resultant re-enforced guidelines for endpoint chemical concentrations are, therefore, to provide powerful tool to assess and manage the risk associated with any potential chemical accidents at an early stage.

노후화 된 공정설비와 공장의 규모 확대 등 유해화학물질 사용량이 증가하고 있으며, 2013년부터 지속적으로 누출에 의한 사고가 발생하는 것을 확인할 수 있다. 장외영향평가에서 누출에 대한 끝점 농도는 ERPG 2로 나타내며, 안전보건공단의 가이드에서 시간에 따라 7분 미만에서 10분의 AEGL 2, 7분 이상 25분 미만일 때는 30분의 AEGL 2값을 사용한다. 기준이 되는 끝점 농도가 시간에 따라 모호하게 사용되고 있어, 사고 발생 시 문제를 야기할 것으로 생각이 된다. 이에 본 연구에서 회귀곡선을 통해 1~10분 사이의 AEGL 값을 도출하고, 동 시간의 Probit function의 0% Lethality 데이터와 비교하였으며, AEGL 결과 값을 사용하여 보다 명확한 시간에 따른 독성누출 평가에 활용될 것으로 생각된다.

Keywords

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