Perspectives in Nursing Science

The Research Institute of Nursing Science Seoul National University (서울대학교 간호과학연구소)
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A Critical Review of Nurse Demand Forecasting Methods in Empirical Studies 1991~2014

간호사 인력의 수요추계 방법론에 대한 비판적 검토: 1991~2014년간의 실증연구를 중심으로

  • Received : 2016.08.11
  • Accepted : 2016.08.30
  • Published : 2016.10.31
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Abstract

Purpose: The aim of this study is to review the nurse demand forecasting methods in empirical studies published during 1991~2014 and suggest ideas to improve the validity in nurse demand forecasting. Methods: Previous studies on nurse demand forecasting methodology were categorized into four groups: time series analysis, top-down approach of workforce requirement, bottom-up approach of workforce requirement, and labor market analysis. Major methodological properties of each group were summarized and compared. Results: Time series analysis and top-down approach were the most frequently used forecasting methodologies. Conclusion: To improve decision-making in nursing workforce planning, stakeholders should consider a variety of demand forecasting methods and appraise the validity of forecasting nurse demand.

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