한국시스템다이내믹스연구 (Korean System Dynamics Review)

한국시스템다이내믹스학회 (Korean System Dynamics Society)
권호 표지

특허 시스템의 정량 분석을 위한 시스템 다이내믹스 모형

A System Dynamics Model for Quantitative Analysis of Patent Systems

  • 윤민호 (경북대학교 경제통상학부)
  • 투고 : 2015.10.14
  • 심사 : 2016.06.26
  • 발행 : 2016.06.30
PDF 다운로드
⟨ 이전 논문 다음 논문 ⟩

초록

In this paper, a system dynamics model for explaining the application, grant and maintenance of patents is provided. Existing literatures regarding the patent application system are mostly econometric approaches that consider only economic variables such as GDP and R&D. The model in this paper includes patent variables such as disputes as well as economic variables. Moreover, we show that the model can be used in not only a quantitative prediction but also policy experiment. The results of the policy experiment shows that strengthening protection of patents tend to increase the propensity to patent more than R&D investment.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. 조윤숙 (2014), 산림자원 및 산림의 공익기능량 추정을 위한 시스템다이내믹스 모형 개발, 한국 시스템다이내믹스 연구, 제15권 제3호 : 5-36
  2. 최남희, 전재호 (2002), 시스템 다이내믹스 기법을 활용한 동태적 비용편익분석 모델구축과 사업성 평가에 관한 연구, 한국 시스템 다이내믹스 연구, 제3권 제2호: 113-140.
  3. Ahn, S., B. H. Hall, and K. Lee ed. (2014) "Intellectual Property for Economic Development," Edward Elgar.
  4. Barlas, Y. (1994), "Model Validation in System Dynamics," International System Dynamics Conference.
  5. Ernst, Holger (2003), "Patent information for strategic technology management," World Patent Information, 25, 233-242. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0172-2190(03)00077-2
  6. Derwishc, Sebastian (2010) "Dynamics of Enforcement and Infringement of Intellectual Property Rights and Implications for Innovation Incentives," presented at the 28th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, July 25-29.
  7. Diamond, J. (1997), "Guns, Germs, and Steel: the Fates of Human Societies," W. W. Norton.
  8. Fatas, A. (2000), "Do Business cycles cast long shadows? Short-run persistence and economic growth," Journal of Economic Growth, 5, 147-162. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1009885203490
  9. Geroski, P.A. and C.F. Walters(1995), "Innovative activity over the business cycle," Economic Journal, 105, 916-928. https://doi.org/10.2307/2235158
  10. Hidalgo, A. and S. Gabaly (2012), "Use of Prediction Methods for Patent and Trademark Applications in Spain," World Patent Information 34(1), 19-29. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wpi.2011.09.001
  11. Hingley, P. and M. Nicolas(2006), "Forecasting Innovations: Methods for Predicting Numbers of Patent filings," Springer.
  12. Malerba, F. (2004), Sectoral Innovation System, Cambridge University Press.
  13. Lewis, C.D. (1982), Industrial and Business Forecasting Methods. London: Butterworth.
  14. Lyneis, J.M. (1999) "System Dynamics for Market Forecasting and Structural Analysis," System Dynamics Review, 16, 3-25.
  15. Suryani, E., Chou S-Y, and Chen C-H (2010), "Air Passenger Demand Forecasting and Passenger Terminal Capacity Expansion: A System Dynamics Framework," Expert Systems with Applications, 37
  16. Walde, K. and U. Woitek(2004), "R&D Expenditure in G7 countries and the implication for endogenous fluctuations and growth," Economics Letters, 82(1), 91-97. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2003.07.014