DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

The Effects of Olive Flounder Outlook Project : Price Stabilization, Market Efficiency, and Causality Analysis on the Prices by Distributional Channel

넙치 관측사업 효과분석 : 가격안정 및 시장효율성 개선효과, 산지-도매가격간 인과성 분석을 중심으로

  • Lee, Heon-Dong (Fisheries Policy Research Division, Korea Maritime Institute) ;
  • Ahn, Byeong-Il (Department of Food and Resource Economics, Korea University)
  • 이헌동 (한국해양수산개발원 수산연구본부) ;
  • 안병일 (고려대학교 식품자원경제학과)
  • Received : 2015.08.25
  • Accepted : 2015.12.18
  • Published : 2016.03.31

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to assess the effects of outlook project for olive flounder, from the view point of price stabilization, market efficiency, and causality of the prices in different distribution channels. Analytical results show that the volatility of producer price of olive flounder has been significantly mitigated after the implementation of the outlook project. The market efficiency is estimated to be improved after implementing the outlook project although there is an inefficiency on price determination process in some producing regions. The causality test on the producer and wholesale price shows that producing stage leads the wholesale stage in forming the prices. It is found that Jeju leads the flounder price on the size of 500g and 2kg, while Wando leads the price of 1kg size. These estimation result as whole indicate that outlook project for olive flounder has accomplished the intended goals.

Keywords

References

  1. Ahn, B. I. and Kim, K. S. (2008), "How to Measure the Price Volatility of Agricultural Products? Examples from the Prices of Spicy Vegetables," Korean Journal of Agricultural Management and Policy, 35 (4), 732-754, 2008.
  2. Barry, K. G. (1990), "Empirically Testing the Law of One Price in an International Commodity Market: A Rational Expectations Application to the Natural Rubber Market," Agricultural Economics, 4, 165-177. https://doi.org/10.1016/0169-5150(90)90030-5
  3. Choi, B. O. (2011), "An Analysis of the Price Efficiency and Causality of the Chinese Cabbage in Consumer Market," Korean Journal of Food Marketing Economics, 28 (2), 45-65.
  4. Choi, B. O. and Kim, W. T. (2007), "Dynamic Causality Analysis on the Producer Price and Wholesale Price of Oriental Melon," Journal of Rural Development, 30 (3), 69-85.
  5. Coppock, D. J. (1977), International Trade Instability, England: Saxon House.
  6. EVIEWS 7.0 User's Guide (2010), Quantitative Micro Software LLC.
  7. Fama, E. (1970), "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," The Journal of Finance, 25 (2), 383-417. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1970.tb00518.x
  8. Fisheries Information Portal(http://www.fips.go.kr/)
  9. Goodwin, B. (1992), "Multivariate Cointegration Tests and The Law of One Price in International Wheat Markets," Review of Agricultural Economics, 14 (1), 117-124. https://doi.org/10.2307/1349612
  10. Hamilton, J. D. (1994), Time Series Analysis, Princeton University Press.
  11. Isard, P. (1977). "How Far Can We Push the Law of One Price?," American Economic Review, 67, 942-948.
  12. Kang, S. K. (2014), "Tests for the Structure Change and Asymmetry of Price Volatility in Farming Olive Flounder," The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration, 42 (2), 29-59.
  13. Kim, K. S. et al. (2014), A study on the Evaluation of Fisheries Outlook Project, Seoul National University (SNU) R&D Foundation.
  14. Kim, K. S., Ahn, D. H. and Seong, J. H. (2009), "Estimation of Social Welfare Effects on the Agricultural Outlook Information," Journal of Rural Development, 32 (5), 1-16.
  15. Kim, N. W. et al. (2000), "Comparative Analysis of Yangjae and Garak Wholesale Market Pirces," Korean Journal of Agricultural Economics, 41 (2), 91-110.
  16. Kim, Y. J., Ahn, D. H. and Kim, K. S. (2015), "Measuring Price Stabilization Effects Based on a Refined Coefficient of Variation Approach: An Application to Fisheries Outlook Project," Korean Journal of Agricultural Management and Policy, 42 (1), 71-88.
  17. KMI(Korea Maritime Institute) Fisheries Outlook Center(http://www.foc.re.kr)
  18. Ko, B. H. (2009), "Price Volatility, Seasonality and Day-of-the Week Effect for Aquacultural Fishes in Korean Fishery Markets," The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration, 40 (2), 49-70.
  19. Korean Statistical Information Service(http://kosis.kr/)
  20. Kwon, Y. D. and Choi, K. S. (1998), "Analysis of Aggregation and Dynamic Price Linkages on the Meat Wholesale Market : Focused on Cointegration Tests," Korean Journal of Agricultural Economics, 39 (2), 37-62.
  21. Lee, B. H., Yang, S. R. and Jeong, B. J. (2002), "Effects of Reforming "Act on the Marketing and Price Stabilization of Agricultural and Marine Products" on the Efficiency of the Agricultural Wholesale Market," Korean Journal of Agricultural Management and Policy, 29 (1), 68-87.
  22. Lee, C. S. and Yang, S. R. (2013), "An Analysis of the Lean Hog Futures Market: Price Predictability, Causality and Efficiency," Korean Journal of Agricultural Management and Policy, 40 (2), 400-429.
  23. Lee, Y. S., Kim, Y. J. and Kim, Y. H. (2002), "Economic Effects of Agricultural Outlook Project," Journal of Rural Development, 25 (3), 1-15.
  24. Ock, Y. S., Kim, S. T. and Ko, B. H. (2006), A Study on the Price Structure of Flatfish in Korea, Korea Maritime Institute.
  25. Ock, Y. S., Kim, S. T. and Ko, B. H. (2007), "A Study on the Price Fluctuation and Forecasting of Aquacultural Flatfish in Korea," The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration, 38 (2), 41-62.
  26. Park, M. S. and Kim, T. H. (2009), "Causality Analysis on the Rice Consumer Price and Producer Price using POS Data," Journal of Rural Development, 31 (6), 1-16.
  27. Pier, G. A. (1989), "Does the Law of One Price Really Hold for Commodity Prices?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 71 (3), 661-669. https://doi.org/10.2307/1242021
  28. Seo, K. N. and Yang, S. R. (2011), "The Effects of the Electronic Auction on the Price Efficiency in the Garak Market," Korean Journal of Agricultural Management and Policy, 38 (2), 175-195.
  29. Statistics Korea, Fishery Production Survey, Each Year.
  30. Yang, S. R. (2003), "Causal Relationships in the Livestock Industry: Feed Grain Through Retail Meat Prices," Korean Journal of Agricultural Economics, 44 (2), 91-110.
  31. Yoon, C. S. and Yang, S. R. (2008), "A Comparion Analysis of the Prices from the Auction and Consignment Systems in the Gang-Seo Wholesale Market," Journal of Channel and Retailing, 14 (1), 67-86.