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Accuracy Assessment of Annual Energy Production Estimated for Seongsan Wind Farm

성산 풍력발전단지의 연간발전량 예측 정확도 평가

  • Ju, Beom-Cheol (LKway Co., Ltd.) ;
  • Shin, Dong-Heon (Multidisciplinary Graduate School Program for Wind Energy, Jeju National University) ;
  • Ko, Kyung-Nam (Faculty of Wind Energy Engineering, Jeju National University)
  • 주범철 ((주)엘케이웨이) ;
  • 신동헌 (제주대학교 대학원 풍력특성화협동과정) ;
  • 고경남 (제주대학교 대학원 풍력공학부)
  • Received : 2016.01.01
  • Accepted : 2016.03.25
  • Published : 2016.04.30

Abstract

In order to examine how accurately the wind farm design software, WindPRO and Meteodyn WT, predict annual energy production (AEP), an investigation was carried out for Seongsan wind farm of Jeju Island. The one-year wind data was measured from wind sensors on met masts of Susan and Sumang which are 2.3 km, and 18 km away from Seongsan wind farm, respectively. MERRA (Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications) reanalysis data was also analyzed for the same period of time. The real AEP data came from SCADA system of Seongsan wind farm, which was compare with AEP data predicted by WindPRO and Meteodyn WT. As a result, AEP predicted by Meteodyn WT was lower than that by WindPRO. The analysis of using wind data from met masts led to the conclusion that AEP prediction by CFD software, Meteodyn WT, is not always more accurate than that by linear program software, WindPRO. However, when MERRA reanalysis data was used, Meteodyn WT predicted AEP more accurately than WindPRO.

Keywords

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