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가스하이드레이트 개발과정에서의 단층 재활성화 해석

Numerical Analysis for Fault Reactivation during Gas Hydrate Production

  • 투고 : 2016.03.31
  • 심사 : 2016.04.19
  • 발행 : 2016.04.30

초록

본 논문에서는 해저 하이드레이트 퇴적층에서의 메탄가스 생산 과정에서 발생 가능한 생산정 주변 단층의 재활성화 가능성을 수치해석을 통해 평가하고 재활성화에 따른 미소지진 규모를 예측한 결과를 소개하였다. 가스 생산에 의한 하이드레이트 퇴적층의 유효응력 변화 및 역학적 변형은 TOUGH+Hydrate 코드와 FLAC3D 코드를 순차적으로 연계해석함으로써 시뮬레이션하였다. 단층면 재활성화 기준은 모어쿨롱(Mohr-Coulomb)법칙이 유효한 것으로 가정하였다. 30일간의 시험생산 해석 결과, 감압에 의한 공극압력 감소 및 유효응력의 증가가 주변 단층의 활성화를 일으킬 가능성은 크지 않은 것으로 나타났다. 초기응력 조건에 따른 활성화 가능성을 활동마찰각으로 평가한 결과로부터 수평응력에 비해 수직응력이 상대적으로 큰 정단층 응력조건(normal fault stress regime)에서 단층 재활성화 가능성이 상대적으로 큰 것으로 파악되었다. 또한, 정단층 응력조건에서 단층 재활성화에 기인한 유도지진 발생규모를 모멘트 크기(moment magnitude)로 추정할 경우, 모두 음(-)의 값을 보여 인간이 감지하지 어려운 수준의 미소지진에 해당하는 결과를 보였다. 다만, 본 해석은 하이드레이트 생산과정에서의 단층재활성화 가능성 평가를 목적으로 한 해석기법 구축 및 그 적용성을 소개할 목적으로 상당히 단순화된 지질구조 모델을 가정한 결과이므로, 향후 하이드레이트 시험 생산 및 상업 생산 지역에서의 상세 지질구조, 입력 물성 및 생산 설계조건을 반영한 해석에서는 상이한 결과를 보일 수 있을 것이다.

In this paper, we perform a numerical analysis to evaluate the potential of fault reactivation during gas production from hydrate bearing sediments and the moment magnitude of induced seismicity. For the numerical analysis, sequential coupling of TOUGH+Hydrate and FLAC3D was used and the change in effective stress and consequent geomechanical deformation including fault reactivation was simulated by assuming that Mohr-Coulomb shear resistance criterion is valid. From the test production simulation of 30 days, we showed that pore pressure reduction as well as effective stress change hardly induces the fault reactivation in the vicinity of a production well. We also investigated the influence of stress state conditions to a fault reactivation, and showed that normal fault stress regime, where vertical stress is relatively greater than horizontal, may have the largest potential for the reactivation. We tested one simulation that earthquake can be induced during gas production and calculated the moment magnitude of the seismicity. Our calculation presented that all the magnitudes from the calculation were negative values, which indicates that induced earthquakes can be grouped into micro-seismic and as small as hardly perceived by human beings. However, it should be noted that the current simulation was carried out using the highly simplified geometric model and assumptions such that the further simulations for a scheduled test production and commercial scale production considering complex geometric conditions may produce different results.

키워드

참고문헌

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