Water for future (물과 미래)

Korea Water Resources Association (한국수자원학회)
권호 표지

수자원 분야 기후변화 영향평가의 불확실성 전파와 정량화

  • 이재경 (대진대학교 공학교육혁신센터)
  • Published : 2016.11.15
Download PDF
⟨ Previous Next ⟩

Abstract

Keywords

References

  1. Chen, J., Brissette, F. P., Poulin, A., and Leconte, R. (2011). "Overall uncertainty study of the hydrological impacts of climate change for a Canadian watershed." Water Resources Research, 47, W12509.
  2. Deser, C., Phiilps, A., Bourdette, V., and Teng, H. (2012). "Uncertainty in climate change projections: the role of internal variability." Climate Dynamic, 38, pp. 527-546. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0977-x
  3. Gay, C. and Estrada, F. (2010). "Objective probabilities about future climate are a matter of opinion." Climatic Change, 99, pp. 27-46. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9681-4
  4. Golan A., Judge G., and Miller, D. (1996). Maximum entropy econometrics: Robust estimation with limited data. Wilby.
  5. Hawkins, E. and Sutton, R. (2009) "The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions." Bulletin of American Meteorological Society, 90, pp. 1095-1107, doi:10.1157/2009BAMS26071.1.
  6. Henderson-Sellers, A. (1993). "An antipodean climate of uncertainty." Climatic Change, 25, pp. 203-224. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01098373
  7. IPCC (2001). Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptations, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, Intergovermental Panel on Climate Change.
  8. IPCC (2007). Climate change 2007: Synthesis report. Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, Intergovermental Panel on Climate Change.
  9. Jones, R. N. (2000). "Managing uncertainty in climate change projections - Issues for impact assessment: An editorial comment." Climatic Change, 45, pp. 403-419. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1005551626280
  10. Katz R. W. (2001). Techniques for estimating uncertainty in climate change scenarios and impact studies, Environmental and Societal Impacts Group Report, National Centers for Atmospheric Research.
  11. Kay, A. L., Davies, H. N., Bell, V. A., and Jones, R. G. (2009). "Comparison of uncertainty sources for climate change impacts: flood frequency in England." Climatic Changes, 92, pp. 41-63. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-008-9471-4
  12. Lee, Jae-Kyoung, Kim, Young-Oh, and Kim, Yongdai (2016). "A new uncertainty analysis in climate change impact assessment." International Journal of Climatology (in press).
  13. Maurer E. P. (2007). "Uncertainty in hydrologic impacts of climate change in the Sierra Nevada, California, under two emission scenarios." Climatic Change, 82, pp. 309-325. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9180-9
  14. Prudhomme, C. and Davies, H. (2009a). "Assessing uncertainties in climate change impact analyses on the river flow regimes in the UK. Part 1: baseline climate." Climatic Change, 93, pp. 177-195. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-008-9464-3
  15. Prudhomme, C. and Davies, H. (2009b). "Assessing uncertainties in climate change impact analyses on the river flow regimes in the UK. Part 2: future climate." Climatic Change, 93, pp. 197-222. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-008-9461-6
  16. Schneider S. H. (1983). "CO2, climate change society: A brief overview." In: Social Science Research and Climate Change: Interdisciplinary Appraisal. [Chen, R. S., E. Boulding, and S. H. Schneider (eds)]. D. Reidel, Boston, MA, UAS, pp. 9-15.
  17. Wilby, R. L. and Harris, I. (2006). "A framework for assessing uncertainties in climate change impacts: Low-flow scenarios for the River Thames, U.K." Water Resources Research, 42, W02419.
  18. Wolock, D. M. and McCabe, G. J. (1999). "Estimates of runoff using water-balance and atmospheric general circulation models." Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 35, pp. 1341-1350. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.1999.tb04219.x
  19. Zhang, H., Huang G. H., Wang, D., and Zhang, X. (2011). "Uncertainty assessment of climate change impacts on the hydrology of small prairie wetlands." Journal of Hydrology, 396, pp. 94-103. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.10.037
  20. 건설교통부, 2008, 기후변화 대비 국가 물 안보 확보 방안(1차년도), 건설교통부
  21. 이재경, 김영오, 강노을 (2012). "한반도 수자원분야 기후변화 연구동향 분석." 한국기후변화학회지, 3, pp. 71-88.