KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research (대한토목학회논문집)

Korean Society of Civil Engeneers (대한토목학회)
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A Study on the Influence of the Urban Characteristics on the Incidence of Crime Using Panel Model

패널모형을 이용한 도시특성요소가 범죄 발생에 미치는 영향 분석

  • 이효진 (부산대학교 도시공학과) ;
  • 이재송 (부산대학교 도시공학과) ;
  • 최열 (부산대학교 도시공학과)
  • Received : 2015.09.11
  • Accepted : 2015.10.06
  • Published : 2015.12.01
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Abstract

This study, based on the sociological crime theory, is to examine the relation between urban characteristics and the incidence of crime, helping establish effective crime prevention measures. For doing so, the study employs crime data from the Supreme Prosecutors' Office and socio-demographic data including the regional Statistical Yearbooks -both from 2005 to 2012- to build the study's panel data, and analyzes the panel model on the 16 subordinate districts in the city of Busan. To reduce the incidence of crime and prevent crimes from occurring based on the analysis results, first, prevention measures specific to each region by its attributes are needed rather than general ones; second, new institutional frameworks or policies are required for utilizing accurate crime data; third, interdisciplinary research in which various fields including urban engineering are associated to that of social science is necessary to further the study.

본 연구는 사회학적 범죄이론에 근거하여 도시 지역의 특징과 범죄 발생 간의 관련성을 규명함으로써 효과적인 범죄예방 대책을 수립하는데 도움이 되고자 하였다. 연구를 위하여 지난 8년간(2005~2012) 대검찰청의 범죄데이터와 지역별 통계연보 등을 통한 인구사회학적 데이터를 이용하여 패널데이터를 구축하였고, 부산시의 16개의 구 군을 대상으로 패널모형으로 분석하였다. 분석결과를 바탕으로 범죄 발생을 줄이고, 범죄예방을 위해서는 첫째, 일반적인 범죄 예방책보다는 지역의 특성에 적합한 정책이 필요하다. 둘째, 범죄연구에 필요한 구체적이고, 정확한 범죄데이터를 활용할 수 있는 제도적 시스템이나 정책이 필요하다. 셋째, 앞으로도 사회과학분야의 제도와 함께 도시공학 및 여러 학문들이 연계된 연구의 수행이 이루어져야 할 것이다.

Keywords

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