Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences (한국항공우주학회지)

The Korean Society for Aeronautical and Space Sciences (한국항공우주학회)
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An Interindustry Analysis Considering Complexity of Space Exploration Project

우주개발사업의 복합성을 고려한 산업연관분석

  • Lee, Eui-Kyung (Department of Business Administration, Daejin University) ;
  • Hur, Hee-Young (Department of Business Administration, Korea Aerospace University)
  • Received : 2014.04.04
  • Accepted : 2014.08.07
  • Published : 2014.09.01
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Abstract

Space exploration project usually consists of so many fields of sub projects that it has a diverse ripple effect throughout the economy. Further studies could not consider the complexity of the space exploration project because they regarded it as one project in spite of the diversity. This study found a way to consider complexity of space exploration project using the concept of WAC(weighted average coefficient). The moon exploration project (2014~2020) is the subject of this study. We classified the moon exploration project into 8 industries and calculated the WAC of production inducement coefficient, value added inducement coefficient, and employment inducement coefficient. The result of analysis using these WACs is that production inducement effect amounts to 1,229.6 billion won, value added inducement effect 324.6 billion won, employment inducement effect 4,844 men. And the linkage effect analysis shows that moon exploration project has more backward linkage effect than forward linkage effect.

본 연구는 우주개발사업이 갖는 복합성을 반영하여 산업연관분석을 수행한 것이다. 구체적인 분석대상은 2014년부터 2020년까지 수행될 것으로 예정되어 있는 달 탐사 사업이다. 종전에는 이러한 우주개발사업을 항공기산업이나 공공연구사업 중 하나로 분류해서 단일사업으로 산업연관분석을 수행하였는데 이러한 방식으로는 정확한 산업파급효과를 측정하는데 한계가 있다. 본 연구에서는 달 탐사 사업을 구성하는 8개 부문별 예산을 이용하여 생산유발계수, 부가가치유발계수, 취업(고용)유발계수 등의 가중평균값(WAC)을 산출해서 이 사업의 산업파급 효과를 분석하였다. 그 결과 7,157억원의 예산이 국내에 지출될 달 탐사 사업의 생산유발효과는 12,296억원, 부가가치유발효과는 3,246억원, 취업(고용)유발효과는 4,855명(4,171명)으로 나타났다. 산업파급효과와 더불어 산업연쇄효과를 분석하였는데 전방연쇄효과를 나타내는 감응도 계수는 0.7419, 후방연쇄효과를 나타내는 영향력 계수는 1.1690으로 나타나서 달 탐사 사업이 중간재보다는 최종재의 특성을 더 많이 갖고 있음이 확인되었다.

Keywords

References

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