Journal of the Korean Society of Safety (한국안전학회지)

The Korean Society of Safety (한국안전학회)
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Motorcycle Accident Model at Roundabout in Korea using ZAM

ZAM을 이용한 국내 회전교차로 오토바이 사고모형

  • Park, Byung Ho (Department of Urban Engineering, Chungbuk National University) ;
  • Lim, Jin Kang (Department of Urban Engineering, Chungbuk National University) ;
  • Na, Hee (Department of Urban Engineering, Chungbuk National University)
  • 박병호 (충북대학교 도시공학과) ;
  • 임진강 (충북대학교 도시공학과) ;
  • 나희 (충북대학교 도시공학과)
  • Received : 2014.03.06
  • Accepted : 2014.06.11
  • Published : 2014.06.30
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Abstract

The goal of this study is to develop the accident models of motorcycle at roundabouts. In the pursuing the above, this study gives particular attentions to developing the appropriate models using ZAM. The main results are as follows. First, the evaluation of various developed models by the Vuong statistic and over-dispersion parameter shows that ZINB is analyzed to be optimal among Poisson, NB, ZIP(zero-inflated Poisson) and ZINB regression models. Second, the traffic volume, width of central island and width of approach are evaluated to be important variables to the accidents. Finally, the common variables that affect to the accident are selected to be traffic volume and width of approach. This study might be expected to give some implications to the accident research on the roundabout by motorcycle.

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