한국시스템다이내믹스연구 (Korean System Dynamics Review)
- 제15권1호
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- Pages.75-96
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- 2014
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- 1229-8085(pISSN)
우리나라 군지역의 고령화 위기와 동태성의 인과순환적 구조분석
Population Ageing Crisis and Causal loop Analysis on the It's Dynamics in Rural County Regions
- 발행 : 2014.04.30
초록
This research primarily aims at analyzing major crises originating from marginalizing population, especially in counties. In addition, based on the system dynamics approaches, it pays attention to divulging causal loop structure which has been rather strengthened by diverse interactions among key variables. Judging from simulation works, even though Korea is exposed to unprecedented aging trends over decades, its counter response seems inadequate and insufficient, mostly dismissing a series of impact embedded in the aging dynamics. This research statistically confirms that demographic marginalization trends have already begun in the villages within Eup and Myon counties. Furthermore, this research pinpoints out the fact that it would be almost impossible for majority of villages within Eup and Myon counties to escape from going out of existence in the course of time, as they tend to be entrapped vicious cycle of marginalization or extinction.
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