International Journal of Highway Engineering (한국도로학회논문집)

Korean Society of Road Engineers (한국도로학회)
권호 표지
DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Identifying the Factors Affecting the First Traffic Violation Duration by Novice Drivers

초보운전자 생애 첫 교통법규 위반기간에 영향을 미치는 요인

  • 강경미 (서울시립대학교 교통공학과) ;
  • 김도경 (서울시립대학교 교통공학과)
  • Received : 2013.07.22
  • Accepted : 2013.10.01
  • Published : 2013.10.15
Download PDF
⟨ Previous Next ⟩

Abstract

PURPOSES : This study deals with first traffic violations occurred by novice drivers, which may be associated with traffic accidents. The objective of this study is to identify what kinds of drivers' characteristics influence on duration till the first traffic violation. METHODS : For the study, Survival Analysis and Cox proportional hazard model, that are usually used in the medical field, were employed. Survival Analysis was conducted to investigate whether there exist differences in survival duration by each covariate, whereas Cox proportional hazard model was used to identify significant factors that affect survival duration till novice drivers violate traffic regulations for the first time after getting a driver license. RESULTS : The results of Survival Analysis indicate that female, age (less than 21), low-frequency examinee of written exam, and non-crash involved drivers have longer duration till the first violation compared to male, greater than 21 years old, high-frequency examinee of written exam, and crash involved drivers, respectively. For the Cox proportional hazard model, license class 1 acquisitor was found to increase the survival duration till the first traffic violation was made, while male, age of 21-24, age of 25-34, age of 45-54, and crash involved drivers were more likely to reduce the survival duration. CONCLUSIONS : Absolutely, traffic violation is closely related to traffic accidents and all of the drivers should keep the traffic regulations to enhance highway safety. The results of this study might provide some insights to construct safe road environments by controlling the factors that reduce the traffic violation duration of novice drivers.

Keywords

References

  1. Cox, D. R. 1972. Regression models and life tables, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B(Methodological), Vol.(20):187-220.
  2. Deery, H. A. 1999. Hazard and risk perception among young novice drivers. Journal of Safety Research, Vol.30(4):225-236. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-4375(99)00018-3
  3. General Insurance Association of Korea, 2011. Survey of public transportation safety.
  4. Gregersen, N. P., and Nyberg, A. 2002. Lay instruction during driver training - A study on how it is carried out and its impact on road safety (in Swedish), VTI rapport, 481.
  5. Hwang, H. G. 2010. Method of solving traffic jam in intersection. Daegu Administrative Policy Study, Vol.22:747-762.
  6. Hwang, W. J., Chung, W. J., Kang D. R., Suh M. H. 2006. Factors affecting breastfeeding rate and duration. Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, Vol.39(1):74-80.
  7. Jeong, C. W., and Cho, E. S. 2010. A study on effectiveness of traffic safety education. Journal of Police Law, Vol.8(1):192-209.
  8. Jeong, D. W., and Kim, H. S. 2008. An analysis of the traffic offense behavior by drivers' characteristics. Seoul Studies, Seoul Institute, Vol.9(3):119-131.
  9. Jeong, K. J. 2006. A study on the problems of traffic safety education in the amendment of road traffic law and the current law. Journal of Korean Law, Vol.12(2):435-455.
  10. Kang, M., and Lee, J. W. 2009. Survival analysis of small and medium size construction enterprises using cox proportional hazards model. Journal of the Korea Real Estate Analysts Association, Vol.15(2):41-57.
  11. Korea Transportation Safety Authority, 2012. 2012 Transport Culture Index Report.
  12. Korean National Police Agency, 2012. 2012 Traffic Accident Statistics: Traffic Accidents in Korea 2011.
  13. Kweon, Y. J., and Kockelman, K. M. 2003. Overall injury risk to different drivers: Combining exposure, frequency, and severity models. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol.35:441-450. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0001-4575(02)00021-0
  14. Laapotti, S., Keskinen, E., Hatakka, M., Katila, A. 2001. Novice driver's accidents and violations: A failure on higher or lower hierarchical levels of driving behaviour. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol.33:759-769. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0001-4575(00)00090-7
  15. Lee, H. J. 2007. The analysis of the differences of driving behaviors according to drivers' personal characteristics and the causal relationship between personal characteristics and the number of traffic violations, Journal of Korean Society of Transportation, Vol.25(2):39-50.
  16. Lim, K. W., and Cho, N. G. 1993. The characteristics of the traffic accidents by novice driver in Korea. Journal of Transportation Safety Study, Vol.12:21-34.
  17. Maycock, G., Lockwood, C. R., Lester, J. F. 1991. The accident liability of car drivers. Research Report RR315. Transport Research Laboratory, Crowthorne.
  18. Marek, J., and Sten, T. 1977. Traffic environment and the driver: driver behavior and training in international perspective. Thomas Publisher, Limited, Charles C. Springfield, Ill.
  19. Mayhew, D. R., Simpson, H. M., Pak, A. 2003. Changes in collision rates among novice drivers during the first months of driving. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol.35(5):683-691. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0001-4575(02)00047-7
  20. Nam, C. W., Kim, D. S., Lee, H. K. 2004. Testing the proportionality assumption on Proportional hazard model: Applied the Bankruptcy prediction model. Management Science & Financial Engineering on 2004 Fall Conference, 615-618.
  21. Nyberg, A., and Gregersen, N. P. 2007. Practicing for and performance on drivers license tests in relation to gender differences in crash involvement among novice drivers. Journal of Safety Research, Vol.38(1):71-80. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsr.2007.01.001
  22. OECD-ECMT, 2006. Young drivers: The road to safety. Joint OECD-ECMT Transport Research Centre, Paris, France.
  23. Prato, C. G., Toledo, T., Lotan, T., Taubman-Ben-Ari, O. 2010. Modeling the behavior of novice young drivers during the first year after licensure. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol.42(2):480-486. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2009.09.011
  24. Preusser, D. F. 2006. The Novice Driver Problem, Transportation Research Circular E-C101:2-3, Transportation Research Board.
  25. Rojalin, S. 1994. The connection between risky driving and involvement in fatal accidents. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol.26(5):555-562. https://doi.org/10.1016/0001-4575(94)90017-5
  26. Ryan, G. A., Legge, M., Rosman, D. 1998. Age related changes in drivers' crash risk and crash type. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol.30(3):379-387 https://doi.org/10.1016/S0001-4575(97)00098-5
  27. Song, G. I., and Choi, J. S. 2008. Survival Data Analysis using SPSS 15. Hannarea, Seoul, Korea.
  28. Song, Y. N. 2001. The estimation of VTTS using traffic regulation obedience choice model. Journal of Korean Society of Transportation, Vol.19(4):49-57.
  29. STEPI, 2008. An Analysis for Korean Venture Survival. Seoul, Korea.
  30. Yeo, J. E. 2001. Comparison of the logistic regression model and the Cox proportional hazards regression model. Master's thesis, Yonsei University.
  31. Yoo, K. Y. 1998. Survival Data Analysis. Proceedings of the Korean Society of Gastroenterology Conference, 1998 Fall:1-14.