Journal of the Korean Society for Railway (한국철도학회논문집)

The Korean Society for Railway (한국철도학회)
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A study on the Estimation Function of the Operating Cost for an Urban Railway (with a focus on Medium-sized Rapid Transit)

도시철도 운영비용 추정함수개발에 관한 연구 (중간규모 도시철도를 중심으로)

  • Chung, Su Young (New business Division) ;
  • Lee, Won Young (Dept. of Industrial & Information Systems Engineering, Seoul National University of Science & Technology)
  • Received : 2013.03.05
  • Accepted : 2013.07.03
  • Published : 2013.08.31
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Abstract

It is necessary to estimate the operating cost for constructing an urban railway system. The present study was thus carried out to develop an estimation function of the operating cost for a MRT(Medium-sized Rapid Transit) system. We selected seven independent variables that could influence the operating cost: the rolling stocks, the number of trains in operation, the length of the lines, the number of stations, the number of passengers per day, the frequency of train operation, and the number of depots. We performed a multiple regression using Excel. Three types of regression functions were thereupon developed. All of them proved to be appropriate after comparing the results of the estimated cost. It will therefore be possible to use one of these three types, depending on the assumptions of the independent variables.

도시철도를 건설하고 운영하기 위해서는 운영비용 예측이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 중간규모(MRT)의 도시철도를 대상으로 하여 운영비용 추정함수모형을 개발하였다. 운영비용에 영향을 주는 변수들로서 전동차 보유량, 전동차 편성수, 정거장수, 영업구간(km), 열차운행횟수, 일일수송인원, 차량기지 등의 독립변수를 선정하였다. 이를 바탕으로 Excel 프로그램을 통해서 회귀분석을 수행하였고, 3가지 모형의 운영비용 추정함수모형을 개발하였으며, 모두 적합한 모형으로 나타났다. 이 모형함수들을 적용하여 각 운영사의 운영비를 실제운영비용과 예측비용을 비교하였다. 결과가 모두 비슷하여 유용한 식으로 판단된다. 따라서, 변수조건에 따른 추정함수를 선택사용이 가능하다.

Keywords

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