A Study on Mathematical Model of Caprine Arthritis Encephalitis (CAE) and Development of Animal Quarantine Information System Adapted for Small Island

  • Hirata, Teppei (Department of Information Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of the Ryukyus) ;
  • Yonahara, Yoshihito (Department of Information Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of the Ryukyus) ;
  • Asharif, Faramarz (Department of Information Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of the Ryukyus) ;
  • Omatsu, Tsutomu (International Institute of Research and Education of Livestock Infectious Disease Quarantine, Faculty of Agriculture, Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology) ;
  • Miyagi, Takeshi (Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of the Ryukyus) ;
  • Nagata, Yasunori (Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of the Ryukyus) ;
  • Mizutani, Tetsuya (International Institute of Research and Education of Livestock Infectious Disease Quarantine, Faculty of Agriculture, Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology) ;
  • Tamaki, Shiro (Department of Information Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of the Ryukyus)
  • Received : 2013.07.14
  • Accepted : 2013.08.12
  • Published : 2013.10.31

Abstract

This paper proposes a mathematical model of Caprine arthritis encephalitis (CAE), which is a disease causing significant economic damage to the goat farming industry, and reports the application of this model to the development of an information management system of animal quarantine to overcome this disease. The mathematical model of CAE was derived from the AIDs model in human case because epidemical characteristics of these diseases including infection pass are similar. This model can be expressed by simultaneous differential equations. Simulations using a new model were performed according Euler's and Runge-Kutta method using numerical analysis software. In each method, strong convergence was observed and the results were similar. The design of an information management system of animal quarantine was proposed as an application of the new model. System design was constructed on the assumption that in subtropical islands, the expected development of information infrastructure and utilization will become valuable in the future.

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