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Asymmetric Information and Bargaining Delays

비대칭적 정보와 협상지연

  • Received : 2013.01.11
  • Accepted : 2013.04.11
  • Published : 2013.04.30

Abstract

Applying Markov Stochastic Process theory, this paper attempts to suggest a tentative model explaining how private information may cause bargaining delay. It is shown that the bargaining delay is critically dependent on the specification of information. It turns out that the delay tends to be longer in bargaining where information is imperfect. This means that bargaining models frequently can have an infinite delay under imperfect information while they have finite delay of bargaining before reaching the agreements if information is perfect. Other interesting result is that bargaining delay may depend on who makes the offer first. And it is also shown that bargaining tends to end earlier if both players (seller and buyer) can make offers in turn than the case where only one side make a offer.

협상과정을 Markov 확률과정으로 전제하고 확률과정의 상태별 이행확률의 크기가 협상참가자의 사적인 정보에 의하여 결정된다고 가정한다. 예를 들어, 판매자와 구매자의 가격협상의 예에서 협상상대방의 특징-예를 들어, 유보가격-에 대한 정보가 사적인 정보일 때 협상참가자 모두가 수용가능한 가격을 찾는 과정이 이행확률의 크기에 영향을 받고, 결과적으로 협상지연의 정도를 결정함을 보인다. 또한 협상의 참가자가 모두 교대로 제안을 하는 제안과 대응제안의 방법의 협상에서보다 협상참가자중 어느 한 쪽의 일방에서 제안을 하는 방법의 협상에서 협상지연이 더욱 길어짐을 보인다.

Keywords

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