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Estimation of Flood Risk Index for the Nakdong River Watershed

낙동강 유역의 홍수위험지수 산정

  • Song, Jae Ha (Department of Civil Engineering, Yeungnam University) ;
  • Kim, Sangdan (Department of Environmental Engineering, Pukyong National University) ;
  • Park, Moo Jong (Department of Civil Engineering, Hanseo University) ;
  • Choi, Hyun Il (Department of Civil Engineering, Yeungnam University)
  • 송재하 (영남대학교 건설시스템공학과) ;
  • 김상단 (부경대학교 환경공학과) ;
  • 박무종 (한서대학교 토목공학과) ;
  • 최현일 (영남대학교 건설시스템공학과)
  • Received : 2012.08.08
  • Accepted : 2012.09.19
  • Published : 2013.01.31

Abstract

The aim of study is to present how to estimate and use the FRI (Flood Risk Index) for classifying area zones based on regional flooding risk in terms of the integrated flood risk management. To estimate the FRI at a spatial resolution of city/county/town units for the Nakdong River Watershed, the 17 representative flood indexing factors are carefully selected for the three flood indexes, such as PI (Pressure Index), SI (State Index), and RI (Response Index) under the P-S-R (Pressure-State-Response) classification system. Because flood indexing factors are measured at different scales and units, they are transformed into a common domain by the T-Score normalization technique. The entropy weight coefficient method is also applied to calculate the weight of flood indexing factors in order to reduce subjective judgement on the effect of weight coefficients. The three flood indexes of PI, SI, and RI are integrated for an overall value of the FRI to evaluate the flood risk of districts. To examine the practical application of the proposed FRI, the FRI results with/without the weight coefficients are compared with flooding zones of natural disaster risk areas officially announced in 2010. It is expected that the FRI ensured by full verification can make regional protection plans against flooding disasters with respect to causes and characteristics of past floods.

본 논문에서는 통합홍수위험관리 측면에서 지역의 홍수위험도에 따라 지구를 구분할 수 있는 홍수위험지수(Flood Risk Index, FRI)의 산정 및 적용방안을 제시하고자 하였다. 낙동강 유역에대하여 시 군 구 단위의 공간해상도로 홍수위험지수(FRI)를 산정하기 위해 P-S-R(Pressure-State-Response) 구조로 분류하여 3개의 홍수지수인 압력지수(PI), 현상지수(SI), 대책지수(RI)를 대표하는 총 17개 세부지표들을 엄선하였다. 세부지표들은 각기 다른 범위와 단위로 측정된 값이므로, T-Score 방법을 사용하여 동일한 범위로 변환되었다. 또한 엔트로피(Entropy) 가중치 산정방법에 의한 가중치를 사용하여 가중치 적용에 따른 주관적인 판정을 최소화하였다. 압력지수(PI), 현상지수(SI), 대책지수(RI)의 3개 지수를 통합하여 지역의 전반적인 홍수위험 상태를 파악할 수 있는 홍수위험지수(FRI)를 산정하고, 가중치 적용 유 무에 따른 홍수위험지수 산정결과와 2010년에 고시된 자연재해위험지구 중 침수위험지구와의 비교를 통해 제안된 홍수위험지수의 적용성을 검토하였다. 충분히 검증된 홍수위험지수를 활용하면 과거 홍수의 원인 및 현상별 홍수재해에 대하여 지역적 방재대책 수립이 가능할 것이라 기대된다.

Keywords

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