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저탄소 경로 모형을 활용한 2050년 한국의 온실가스 감축 시나리오 비교 분석

Comparative Analysis of Scenarios for Reducing GHG Emissions in Korea by 2050 Using the Low Carbon Path Calculator

  • 박년배 (세종대학교 기후변화센터) ;
  • 유정화 (세종대학교 기후변화센터) ;
  • 조미현 (세종대학교 기후변화센터) ;
  • 윤성권 (세종대학교 기후변화센터) ;
  • 전의찬 (세종대학교 환경에너지융합학과)
  • Park, Nyun-Bae (Climate Change Research Center, Sejong University) ;
  • Yoo, Jung-Hwa (Climate Change Research Center, Sejong University) ;
  • Jo, Mi-Hyun (Climate Change Research Center, Sejong University) ;
  • Yun, Seong-Gwon (Climate Change Research Center, Sejong University) ;
  • Jeon, Eui Chan (Department of Environment and Energy, Sejong University)
  • 투고 : 2012.06.09
  • 심사 : 2012.08.24
  • 발행 : 2012.10.31

초록

The Low Carbon Path Calculator is an excel-based model to project greenhouse gas emissions from 2009 to 2050, which is based on the 2050 Pathways Calculator developed by the UK Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC). Scenarios are developed to reduce GHG emissions in Korea at 50% based on 2005 levels by 2050 using a Low Carbon Path Calculator. They were classified in four different cases, which are high renewable, high nuclear, high CCS and mixed option scenarios. The objectives of this study are to compare scenarios in terms of GHG emissions, final energy, primary energy and electricity generation and examine the usefulness of that model in terms of identifying pathways towards a low carbon emission society. This model will enhance the understanding of the pathways toward a low carbon society and the level of the climate change policy for policy makers, stakeholders, and the public. This study can be considered as a reference for developing strategies in reducing GHG emissions in the long term.

키워드

참고문헌

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피인용 문헌

  1. Economic Valuation of the Korean Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation Model vol.30, pp.3, 2014, https://doi.org/10.5572/KOSAE.2014.30.3.270