Journal of Energy Engineering (에너지공학)

The Korean Society for Energy (한국에너지학회)
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The Economic Effects of Integrated-Energy Business : An Input-Output Analysis

집단에너지산업의 국민경제적 파급효과 분석

  • Han, Kun-Taik (Department of Energy Policy, Graduate School of Energy & Environment, Seoul National University of Science & Technology) ;
  • Kim, Hye-Min (Department of Energy Policy, Graduate School of Energy & Environment, Seoul National University of Science & Technology) ;
  • Yoo, Seung-Hoon (Department of Energy Policy, Graduate School of Energy & Environment, Seoul National University of Science & Technology)
  • 한건택 (서울과학기술대학교 에너지환경대학원 에너지정책학과) ;
  • 김혜민 (서울과학기술대학교 에너지환경대학원 에너지정책학과) ;
  • 유승훈 (서울과학기술대학교 에너지환경대학원 에너지정책학과)
  • Received : 2012.02.13
  • Accepted : 2012.03.19
  • Published : 2012.03.31
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Abstract

Korean government has initiated integrated-energy business (IEB) in Mokdong for energy conservation in 1983. Since then, IEB has been steadily expanding. This paper attempts to apply input-output(I-O) analysis to examine the economic effects of IEB. A static I-O framework is employed, focusing on three topics in its application: the impact of the investment of IEB on the production of other sectors and the inter-industry linkage effect; supply shortage effects of the IEB ; and the impact of the rise in IEB rate on prices of other products. The paper pays closer attention to IEB sector by taking the sector as exogenous and then investigating its economic impacts. The results can be widely utilized in decision-making about IEB policy.

정부는 에너지 절약시책의 일환으로 제1,2차 석유파동 후 1983년에 목동신시가지에 집단에너지 사업을 도입하였다. 이후 집단에너지산업의 공급규모는 꾸준히 증가추세를 보이고 있다. 이에 본 논문에서는 2009년도 산업연관표에 근거한 투입산출분석을 이용하여 집단에너지산업의 국민경제적 파급효과를 분석하고자 한다. 수요유도형 모형을 이용하여 집단에너지산업에서의 생산 혹은 투자가 다른 산업에 미치는 영향에 대하여 논의한다. 공급유도형 모형을 적용하여 집단에너지산업에서의 공급지장이 다른 산업에 미치는 효과에 대해 살펴본다. 레온티에프 가격모형을 이용하여 집단에너지산업의 가격 변동이 다른 산업의 산출물 가격에 미치는 영향에 대해 검토한다. 특히 집단에너지산업을 중심에 놓고 이를 외생화하여 분석하는 접근방법을 취했다. 분석 결과를 요약하자면, 집단에너지산업은 낮은 생산유발효과, 높은 공급지장효과, 낮은 물가파급효과, 낮은 전방연쇄효과, 낮은 후방연쇄효과를 가진다. 이러한 정량적 정보는 집단에너지산업을 위한 정책결정에 있어서 유용하게 활용될 수 있다.

Keywords

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