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기후변화가 남해 해양생태계에 미치는 영향평가

Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Marine Ecosystem in the South Sea of Korea

  • 주세종 (한국해양과학기술원 심해저자원연구부) ;
  • 김세주 (한국해양과학기술원 심해저자원연구부)
  • Ju, Se-Jong (Deep-sea and Seabed Resources Research Division, KIOST) ;
  • Kim, Se-Joo (Deep-sea and Seabed Resources Research Division, KIOST)
  • 발행 : 2012.06.30

초록

According to the IPCC climate change scenario (A1B scenario), the surface seawater temperature of the South Sea of Korea by 2100 may be $2-3.5^{\circ}C$ higher than at present, and seawater pH may decrease from 8.1 to 7.8, due to the increase in atmospheric $CO_2$, which is predicted to increase in concentration from 380 to 750 ppm. These changes may not only intensify the strength of typhoons/storm surges but also affect the function and structure the marine ecosystem. In order to assess the impact of climate change on the marine ecosystem in Korean waters, the project named the 'Assessment of the impact of climate change on marine ecosystem in the South Sea of Korea' has been supported by the Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs, from 2008. The goal of this project is to enhance our ability to adapt and prepare for the future environmental changes through the reliable predictions based on the knowledge obtained from projects like this. In this respect, this project is being conducted to investigate the effects of climate/marine environment changes (ocean warming and acidification), and to predict future changes of the structure and function of the ecosystem in the South Sea of Korea. This special issue contains 6 research articles, which are the highlights of the studies carried out through this project.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. Cheung WWL, Close C, Lam V, Watson R, Pauly D (2008) Application of macroecological theory to predict effects of climate change on global fisheries potential. Mar Ecol-Prog Ser 365:187-197 https://doi.org/10.3354/meps07414
  2. Hoegh-Guldberg O, Mumby PJ, Hooten AJ, Steneck RS, Greenfield P, Gomez E, Harvell CD, Sale PF, Edwards AJ, Caldeira K, Knowlton N, Eakin CM, Iglesias-Prieto R, Muthiga N, Bradbury RH, Dubi A, Hatziolos ME (2007) Coral reefs under rapid climate change and ocean acidification. Science 318:1737-1742 https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1152509
  3. IPCC (2007) IPCC the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (http://www.ipcc-nggip.iges.or.jp/public/gl/invs1.htm). Cambridge University Press, New York, 996 p
  4. Rost B, Zondervan I, Wolf-Gladrow D (2008) Sensitivity of phytoplankton to future changes in ocean carbonate chemistryL current knowledge, contradictions and research directions. Mar Ecol-Prog Ser 373:227-237 https://doi.org/10.3354/meps07776
  5. Son YB, Noh JH, Ju SJ, Kim SH, Ryu JH (2012) Climatological variability of satellite-derived sea surface temperature and chlorophyll: the South Sea of Korea and East China Sea. Ocean and Polar Res 34(2):201-218 https://doi.org/10.4217/OPR.2012.34.2.201

피인용 문헌

  1. The Economic Feasibility Analysis of Grow out Phase Production of Oyster Farming by Rising Water Temperature vol.36, pp.2, 2014, https://doi.org/10.4217/OPR.2014.36.2.157
  2. Urban Growth Prediction each Administrative District Considering Social Economic Development Aspect of Climate Change Scenario vol.21, pp.2, 2013, https://doi.org/10.7319/kogsis.2013.21.2.053
  3. Assessing uncertainty in future climate change in Northeast Asia using multiple CMIP5 GCMs with four RCP scenarios vol.24, pp.3, 2015, https://doi.org/10.14249/eia.2015.24.3.205