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A study of real estate investment value and analytic technique -mainly by case study of real estate development projects-

부동산 투자가치와 사업타당성 분석기법 연구 -개발사업 사업타당성 분석 사례연구를 중심으로-

  • Lee, Taek-Soo (Graduate School of Urban Studies, Hanyang University) ;
  • Lee, Joo-Hyung (Graduate School of Urban Studies, Hanyang University)
  • Received : 2012.10.29
  • Accepted : 2012.12.06
  • Published : 2012.12.31

Abstract

In so many real estate development projects, there were strong needs to have a powerful tool to check feasibility of those projects. But there were not enough tool and measure to cover risk of real estate development and construction. Therefore I tried to find a real tool to measure investment value of development properly and efficiently, by means of case studies of many real estate development projects. Finally I found a fact that no tools of investment value analysis are perfect and efficient to hedge all kinds of risks in projects. Especially NPV(Net Present Value) and IRR(Internal Rate of Return) were not sufficient by themselves to measure investment value. So I found out that MIRR(Modified IRR), XIRR(X-IRR), ARR(Average Rate of Return), PP(Payback Period) and so on, would be supplementaries of proper and efficient investment value analysis.

부동산투자 패러다임의 변화 속에서 정교하고 투명하게 투자가치와 성과를 분석할 수 있는 기법의 도입이 절실히 필요하게 됐다. 본 연구에서는 합리적이고 타당한 투자의사결정을 하기 위하여 신뢰도 높은 투자가치분석의 핵심이 되는 재무적 타당성 분석방안을 찾고자 한다. 이를 위해 부동산 개발사업 사례와 자산관리사업 사례를 선정했다. 각 사례를 통해 손익이나 투자가치를 어떻게 분석했으며 변수에 따라 수익률과 현재가치가 어떻게 변화하는지 과정을 추적했다. 분석 결과, 기존에 발달해 온 여러 기법들을 실제 개발프로젝트에 직접 적용하기 위해서는 우선 해당 프로젝트에서 의사결정을 위해 가장 중요시되는 부분이 무엇인지 파악한 다음 여러 투자분석 기법들 가운데 가장 적절한 기법들을 복수로 선정한 뒤 각 투자분석기법의 단점을 보완할 수 있도록 대체적 및 보완적 기법들을 동원해 실제 투자가치분석에서 활용한다면 투자가치분석의 효율성과 신뢰성을 높일 것이라는 점을 발견했다.

Keywords

References

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