한국군사과학기술학회지 (Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology)

  • 제14권3호
  • /
  • Pages.467-473
  • /
  • 2011
  • /
  • 1598-9127(pISSN)
  • /
  • 2636-0640(eISSN)
한국군사과학기술학회 (The Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology)
권호 표지
DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

국방조달에서 부정당업자 판별분석 모형 개발

Discriminant Analysis for the Prediction of Unlawful Company in Defense Procurement

  • 한홍규 (국방대학교 무기체계학과) ;
  • 최석철 (국방대학교 무기체계학과)
  • 투고 : 2011.03.11
  • 심사 : 2011.05.13
  • 발행 : 2011.06.05
PDF 다운로드
⟨ 이전 논문 다음 논문 ⟩

초록

The contractor management for the effective defense project is essential factor in the modern defense acquisition task. The occurrence of unlawful company causes hastiness for project manager and setback to the deployment of defense weapon system. In this paper, we develop a prediction model for the effective defense project by using the discriminant analysis and analyse the variables that discriminate the unlawful company in many variables. It is expected that our model can be used to improve the project management capability of defense acquisition and contribute to the establishment of efficient procurement procedure through entry of the reliable defense manufacturer.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. 방위사업청, "방위사업청 소식지", 제40호, 2010. 1.
  2. 국방일보, "재미있는 예산.회계<17>", 2010. 2.10.일자 기사.
  3. 한홍규, 최석철, "국방 사업관리 능력 향상을 위한 사업관리지수 개발", 한국군사과학기술학회지 제13권 제5호, 2010. 10.
  4. Fisher, R. A., "The Use of Multiple Measurements in Taxonomic Problems", Ann. Eugen. 7, 1936.
  5. Dimitras, A. I., Zanakis, S. H., & Zopounidis, C., "A Survey of Business Failure with an Emphasis on Prediction Methods and Industrial Application", European Journal of Operational Research 90, 2006.
  6. 항공대학교 통계분석방법론 수업자료(최승회 교수), "Discriminant Analysis", 2010. 11. 17.
  7. Onur, E., Alkin, T., & Tural, U., "Panic Disorder Subtypes : Further Clinical Differences", Anxiety 24, 2007.
  8. Williams, D. L., Goldstein, G., & Minshew, N. J. "The Profiele of Memory Function in Children with Autism", Neuropsychology 20, 2006.
  9. Corcos, M., Loas, G., Sperana, M., Perez-Diaz, F., Stephan, P., Vernier, A., Lang, F., Nezelof, S., Bizouard, P., Veniss, J. L., & Jeanmmet, P., "Risk Factors for Addictive Disorders : A Discriminant Analysis on 374 Addicted and 513 Nonpsychiatric Participants", Psychol. Rep. 102, 2008.
  10. Beaver, W. G., "Financial Ratios as Predictors of Failure", Journal of Accounting Research 5, 1966.
  11. Altman, E. I., "Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analsis and the Prediction of Corporate Bankruptcy", Journal of Finance 23, 1968.
  12. Falbo, P., "Credit Scoring by Enlarged Discriminant Analysis", OMEGA 19(4), 1991.
  13. Kuruppu, N., Laswad, F., & Oyelere, P., "The Efficacy of Liquidation and Bankruptcy Prediction Models for Assessing Going Concern", Managerial Accounting Journal 18, 2003.
  14. 방위사업청 제공데이터 분석, 2010. 12. 7.
  15. 국가를당사자로하는계약에관한법률 제27조, 영 제 76조, 규칙 제76조, 2008. 2. 29.
  16. 국가를당사자로하는계약에관한법률시행령 제76조, 2010. 11. 15.
  17. 방위사업청 계약관리본부, "부정당업자의 입찰참가자격 법령 및 절차 교육", 2009. 3. 11.
  18. KOSBI(중소기업정책연구DB), "제조 중소기업의 장기 성장추세 둔화 진단", 2009. 12, http://db.kosbi.re.kr.
  19. 중소기업청 홈페이지(http://www.smba.go.kr) 내용 재정리.