한국건축시공학회지 (Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction)

  • 제11권3호
  • /
  • Pages.221-228
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  • 2011
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  • 1598-2033(pISSN)
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  • 2233-5706(eISSN)
한국건축시공학회 (The Korean Institute of Building Construction)
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공동주택 개발 사업의 비용분석을 위한 시스템 다이내믹스 모델 개발 연구

Development of a System Dynamics Model for Cost Analysis of Housing Development Projects

  • Kim, Keun-Woo (Department of Architectural Engineering, Graduate School Gyeongsang National University) ;
  • Yun, Seok-Heon (Department of Architectural Engineering, Engineering Research Institute, Gyeongsang National University)
  • 투고 : 2011.01.18
  • 심사 : 2011.05.03
  • 발행 : 2011.06.20
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초록

본 연구에서는 아파트 개발 사업의 타당성 분석을 위한 시스템다이내믹스 모델을 개발하고 사례연구를 수행하고자 하였다. 연구에서는 기존의 아파트개발 사업 사례와 연구 프로젝트 자료들을 근거로 현금흐름 구성요소들을 도출하였고, 시스템사고 방법과 시스템다이내믹스 모델을 사용하여 이들 요소의 상호 영향관계를 찾고자 노력하였다. 연구에서는 모델을 정의하고 분석하기 위해 Vensim이라는 시스이내믹스 소프트웨어를 사용하였다. 이렇게 도출된 모델을 검증하기 위해 사례 연구를 진행하였으며, 사례연구 결과 연구에서 개발한 모델이 실제 프로젝트에 적용이 가능할 것으로 판단되었다. 연구에서 도출된 모델은 아파트 개발사업자들이 프로젝트의 초기단계에 프로젝트 파이낸싱과 관련한 의사결정에 도움이 될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

This study is on the development of a System Dynamics Model for business feasibility analysis of an apartment house development project. In this study, we analyzed other apartment development projects and research projects, and identified the cash flow items, which consist of revenue and expenditure items. In addition, we made efforts to find the influence relationship among these using the system thinking method and developed a system dynamics model. In order to test the model, a case study was conducted in which it was applied to an apartment development project. Vensim, a System Dynamics Modeling and simulation software package was used to analyze and test the model. The model suggested in this study can help a developer to make decisions on project financing at the initial stage of an apartment house development project.

키워드

참고문헌

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