Journal of the Korean Society of Safety (한국안전학회지)

The Korean Society of Safety (한국안전학회)
권호 표지
DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Traffic Accident Models of Arterial Road Sections by Number of Lane in the Case of Cheongju

차로수별 간선도로구간 사고모형 - 청주시를 사례로 -

  • Lim, Jin-Kang (Department of Urban Engineering, Chungbuk National University) ;
  • Na, Hee (Department of Urban Engineering, Chungbuk National University) ;
  • Park, Byung-Ho (Department of Urban Engineering, Chungbuk National University)
  • 임진강 (충북대학교 도시공학과) ;
  • 나희 (충북대학교 도시공학과) ;
  • 박병호 (충북대학교 도시공학과)
  • Received : 2011.02.26
  • Accepted : 2011.08.30
  • Published : 2011.10.31
Download PDF
⟨ Previous Next ⟩

Abstract

This study deals with the accident models of arterial road sections. The objectives is to develop the models by number of lane. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular emphasis to dividing the 474 small link sections, collecting the accident data of 2007, and applying the statistical programs of SPSS17.0 and NLOGIT4.0. The main results are as follows. First, the number of accidents of two-lane roads were analyzed to be 59.9% of totals and to be the most of all. Second, one Poisson and two negative binomial regression models which were all statistically significant were developed. Finally, the common variables of all models were evaluated to be ADT and number of exit/entry which were all positive to the accidents.

Keywords

References

  1. 강명욱, 김영일, 안철환, 이용구, "회귀분석 모형 개발과 진단", 서울, 율곡출판사, 1996.
  2. 김경환, 박병호, "청주시 가로구간의 교통사고모형 개발", 대한국토.도시계획학회지, 제45권, 제5호, pp. 153-162, 2010.
  3. 김도경, 박정순, 이점호, "신호 및 좌회전 처리방법에 따른 교차로 안전성 평가", 서울도시연구, 제9권, 제3호, pp. 107-118, 2008.
  4. 이기영, 이용택, "확률회귀모형을 이용한 고속도로의 사고요인 분석", 도로교통, 제94호, pp. 51-64, 2003.
  5. 이수범, 김정현, 홍다희, 유창남, "도로등급 및 특성에 따른 교통사고예측모형개발", 대한토목학회논문집, 제23권, 제2호, pp. 495-504, 2003.
  6. Bdard, M., Stones, M. J., Guyatt, G. H. and Hirdes, J. P., "Traffic related fatalities among older drivers and passengers: Past and future trends", 2001. https://doi.org/10.1093/geront/41.6.751
  7. Jose', M. Pardillo Mayora, Rafael Bojorquez and Alberto Camarero Orive, "Refinement of Accident Prediction Models for the Spanish National Network" (TRB) Transportation Research Board 85th Annual Meeting, January 2006.
  8. Langford, J., Methorst, R. and Hakamies Blomqvist, L., "Older Drivers do Not Have a High Crash Risk - A Replication of Low Mileage Bias", 2005.
  9. Simon, P. Washington, Matthew G. Karlaftis and Fred L. "Mannering, Statistical and Econometric Methods for Transportation Data Analysis", Washington, HALL/CRC, 2003.