Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society (한국산학기술학회논문지)

The Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society (한국산학기술학회)
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A Technology Diffusion Model Based on Technology Policy: The Case of Solid-State Lighting Technology Diffusion in the U.S.

정책변수를 고려한 확산모형의 연구 - 고체조명(Solid-State Lighting : SSL) 기술을 중심으로

  • Jin, Mei-Yue (Dept. Information Management, Korea University)
  • Received : 2011.03.30
  • Accepted : 2011.06.09
  • Published : 2011.06.30
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Abstract

Technology policy has a substantial impact on the diffusion of a new technology. This paper uses technology policy as a variable in the general epidemic model to quantify the effects of the policy on technology diffusion. The results obtained in this study, using data on solid-state technology diffusion in the U.S. indicate that technology policy plays a positive role in technology diffusion and provide a firm basis for understanding the relationship between technology policy and technology diffusion through the use of quantitative data.

기술정책은 신기술 확산에 영향을 주는 중요한 요인 중의 하나이다. 본 연구의 목적은 기존의 전염병 확산 모형을 기초로 정책변수를 추가한 신기술 확산모형을 구축하고, 미국에서의 이산화탄소 배출 감소에 응용되는 고체조명(Solid-State Lighting) 기술을 사례로 실증연구를 진행하는 것이다. 실험결과, 정책변수는 정(+)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났으며, 기술정책은 신기술의 확산에 추진 작용을 하는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 정책적 역할에 대한 정량적 이해를 도모하는데 있어서 정량적 판단을 위한 자료를 제공하고, 정책변수와 신기술 확산의 정량적 관계를 파악하는 데 도움이 될 것이다.

Keywords

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