Development of Continuous Indirect Connectivity Model for Evaluation of Hub Operations at Airport

공항의 허브화 평가를 위한 연속연결성지수모형 개발

  • 이상용 (한국항공대학교, 인천공항공사) ;
  • 유광의 (한국항공대학교 항공교통물류우주법학부) ;
  • 박용화 (인하대학교 물류전문대학원)
  • Received : 2009.04.07
  • Accepted : 2009.07.27
  • Published : 2009.08.31

Abstract

The deregulation of aviation markets in Europe and the United Sates had led airlines to reconfigure their networks into hub-and-spoke systems. Recent trends of "Open Skies" in the Asian aviation market are also expected to prompt the reformation of airlines' networks in the region. A significant connectivity index is a crucial tool for airlines and airport authorities to estimate the degree of hub-and-spoke operations. Therefore, this paper suggests a new index, Continuous Indirect Connectivity Index (CICI), for measuring the coordination of airlines' flight schedules, applying it to the Asian, European and the American aviation markets. CICI consists of three components:(i) temporal connectivity to identify the attractiveness between connection flights, (ii) spatial connectivity to differentiate the attractiveness by de-routing distance with continuous linear function, and (iii) relative intensity to reflect the effect of direct flight frequency on transfer routes. CICI is evaluated to examine a casual relationship through regression analyses with two dependent variables of the number of transfer passengers and transfer rates. Compared with Danesi's index and Doganis' index through evaluation processes, CICI has a higher coefficient value of determination, implying that it explains the relationship between connectivity and transfer passengers more precisely.

유럽 및 미국에서 항공산업의 규제완화는 항공사가 그들의 네트워크를 허브-앤-스포크 구조로 변경토록 하는 원천이 되었다. 최근에 나타나는 아시아 항공시장의 자유화 움직임은 이 지역 항공네트워크를 변화시키는 계기가 될 것이다. 이와 같은 환경변화로 인해 항공사와 공항 당국은 허브-앤-스포크 운영에 따른 상호 연결성을 개선하기 위해 그 개념을 정의하고 연결성 지수를 수립 운영하는 것이 중요한 이슈가 되었다. 본 논문에서는 연속 연결성지수(CICI, Continuous Indirect Connectivity Index)를 제안하여 유럽, 미주 및 아시아 지역의 주요공항들에서 항공사 스케줄에 따른 허브화 조정정도를 평가하고자 하였다. 연속 연결성지수는 세 부분으로 구성된다. 첫째 출발-도착 항공편 간 환승 편의성을 파악하기 위한 시간 연결성지수 설정, 둘째 항공편의 경유 거리에 의한 매력도를 나타내는 공간 연결성지수, 셋째 환승노선의 운항빈도에 의한 상대강도지수 도출 등이다. 본 논문에서는 연속 연결성지수와 환승객수 및 로그 환승률 간 인과관계를 분석하여 지수의 유효성을 증명하였다. 연속 연결성지수와 환승객수의 결정계수는 0.94, 로그 연속 연결성지수와 환승률의 결정계수는 0.69로 Danesi와 Doganis지수보다 높은 인과성과 우수한 설명도를 나타내는 것으로 분석되었다.

Keywords

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