Surge Tank가 설치된 상수도관망에서 부정류를 고려한 불능확률 산정

Calculation of Probability of System Failure for Pipe Network with Surge Tank regarding Unsteady Flow

  • 투고 : 2009.02.09
  • 심사 : 2009.06.08
  • 발행 : 2009.06.15

초록

In the present study, a reliability analysis calculating the probability of system failure has been performed using cut set and results of numerical analysis for unsteady flow in pipe. Especially, the probability of system failure has been evaluated regarding the effect of valve closure which is a really important activity in operation of piping system. In spite of small amount of demand, it was found that fast valve closure can generate high probability of system failure. Furthermore, it was confirmed that surge tank can reduce the unsteady effects and probability of system failure in water distribution system. From the results, it was found that the unsteady flow has a significant effect on the probability of system failure Furthermore, it was able to find which pipe or cut set has high probability of system failure. So it could be used to determine which pipe or cut set has a priority of repair and replacement. Therefore, reliability analysis regarding unsteady flow has to be performed for the planning, designing, maintenance, and operation of piping system.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. Ang, A. and Tang, W. H. (1984). Probability Concepts in Engineering Planning and Design. John Wiley and Sons, Inc. New York
  2. Chaudhry, H. M. (1979). Applied Hydraulic Transients. Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York
  3. Karney, B. W. & Mcinnis, D. (1992). 'Efficient calculation of transient flow in simple pipe networks.' Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, ASCE, 118 (7), 1014-1031 https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9429(1992)118:7(1014)
  4. Kirmeyer, G., W. Richards, and C.D. Smith. (1994). An Assessment of Water Distribution Systems and Associated Research Needs. Denver, CO: AWWARF
  5. Kwon, H. J. (2005). 'Transient flow in water distribution system.' Ph..D. Thesis, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA
  6. Kwon, H. J. (2007a). 'Computer Simulations of Transient Flow in a Real City Water Distribution System.' KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering, Korean Society of Civil Engineers, Vol. 11, No. 11, pp. 43-49
  7. Kwon, H. J. (2007b). 'Analysis of Transient Flow in a Piping System.' KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering, Korean Society of Civil Engineers, Vol. 11, No. 4, pp. 209-214 https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02823986
  8. Kwon, H. J. and Lee, C. E. (2008a). 'Reliability analysis of pipe network regarding transient flow.' KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering, Korean Society of Civil Engineers, Vol. 12, No. 6, pp. 409-416 https://doi.org/10.1007/s12205-008-0409-1
  9. Kwon, H. J. and Lee, C. E. (2008b). 'Reliability analysis for the probability of pipe breakage.' Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater, KSWW, Vol. 22, No. 6, pp. 609-617
  10. Mailhot, A., Pelletier, G., Noel, J-F., and Villeneuve, J-P. (2000). 'Modeling the evolution of the structural state of water pipe networks with brief recorded pipe break histories: Methodology and application.' Water Resources Research, Vol. 36, No. 10, pp. 3053-3062 https://doi.org/10.1029/2000WR900185
  11. National Research Council Canada (1995). Water Main Breaks Data on Different Pipe Materials for 1992-1993
  12. Watson, T. G., Christian, C. D., Mason, A. J., Smith, M. H., and Meyer, R. (2004). 'Bayesian-based pipe failure model.' Journal of Hydroinformatics, Vol. 6, No. 4, pp. 259-264
  13. Watters, G. W. (1984). Analysis and Control of Unsteady Flow in Pipe lines. Butterworths, Boston
  14. Wylie, B. E. and Streeter, V. L. (1993). Fluid Transients in Systems. FEB Press, Ann Arbor, Mich