Prediction Model for Toothache Occurrence in College Students by using Oral Hygiene Habits and the CART Model

대학생의 구강건강관리실태와 CART모델을 이용한 치통발생예측

  • Kim, Nam-Song (Department of Preventive Medicine and Public Health Wonkwang University School of Medicine) ;
  • Lim, Kun-Ok (Department of Dental Hygiene, Chodang University)
  • 김남송 (원광대학교 의과대학 예방의학교실) ;
  • 임근옥 (초당대학교 치위생학과)
  • Received : 2009.08.20
  • Accepted : 2009.10.19
  • Published : 2009.10.31

Abstract

The occurrence of toothache signals the malfunction in oral health, which allows the detection of any abnormal condition in the oral cavity at an early stage to prevent the condition from worsening, and thus can act as a preventive measure. This study has looked into the status of oral health management in relation to toothache through the structured survey administered to 235 college students. Based on the survey results, this study aimed at comparing the toothache occurrence prediction between regression analysis and CART model in order to clarify the relationship between the factors of oral health management habits that contribute to toothache occurrence. According to the result, there was a difference between the present health status and the health status of the past year depending on the presence or non-presence of toothache occurrence (p<0.05). There was a difference in the regularity of meal time depending on the presence non-presence of toothache occurrence from the dietary habits of the research subjects (p<0.05). As for the presence or non-presence of toothache occurrence from the oral hygiene habits of the research subject, there was a difference between the occurrence and nonoccurrence of bleeding during brushing or flossing (p<0.05). According to the results of regression analysis, no factors were signifiant in the relationship with the presence or non-presence of toothache occurrence from the status of life habits and oral hygiene habits. 70% of the researched group was randomly selected as the sample for generating an analytical model and the remaining 30% was used as the sample for generating an evaluation model. According to the results of CART model, the occurrence of toothache was higher in the case of irregular meal time and poor current health condition than the case of average or satisfactory health condition. The above results imply that CART model is very useful technique in predicting toothache occurrence compared to regression analysis, and suggests that CART model could be very useful in predicting other oral diseases including toothache.

치통의 발생은 구강건강의 이상을 알리는 신호로 발생 초기에 구강의 이상 유무를 파악하게 하여 조기에 질병의 악화를 차단할 수 있게 함으로써 사전에 예방이 가능할 것으로 사료되어, 대학생 235명을 대상으로 구조화된 설문을 통하여 치통과 관련된 구강건강관리실태를 조사 분석하였다. 이를 토대로 치통 발생에 관여하는 구강건강관리습관 요인과의 관계를 규명하고자 회귀분석, CART 모델 간의 치통 발생 예측을 비교하고자 한다. 연구결과 대상자의 치통 발생 유무에 따른 현재 건강상태, 지난 1년간의 건강상태는 차이가 있었다(p<0.05). 대상자의 식생활 습관에 따른 치통 발생 유무에서 규칙적인 식사 여부와 치이가 있었다(p<0.05). 대상자의 구강건강 관리습관에 따른 치통발생 유무에서는 칫솔질이나 치실 사용시 잇몸 출혈 여부에서 차이가 있었다(p<0.05). 회귀분석 결과 건강샐활습관 및 구강건강관리실태에 따른 치통발생 유무와의 관계에서는 어느 요인도 유의하지 않았다. 연구 조사된 집단에서 70.0%의 샘플을 무작위 추출하여 분석용 모형을 생성하였고, 나머지 30%의 샘플로 평가용모형을 생성하였다. CART 모델 결과 식사 시간이 불규칙하면서 현재 건강상태가 나쁜 경우 치통 발생이 건강상태가 좋거나 보통인 경우보다 높게 나타났다. 이상의 결과는 치통의 발생을 예측하는데 회귀분석에 비하여 CART모델이 매우 유용한 기법임을 시사하며, 향후 치통을 포함한 다른 구강 질환을 예측하는데 매우 도움이 될 것으로 기대된다.

Keywords

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