An analysis of the income impact of Self-Sufficiency training Program - by using Propensity Score Matching -

자활직업훈련 사업의 임금 효과 분석 - Propensity Score Matching 방법으로 -

This study focuses on the following question; self-supporting training program increases participants' income compare to non-participants who have similar characteristics. This question is based on counterfactual assumption. In other words, this study concentrates on what the outcomes would have been if the participants were to be absent. This study adopts a quasi-experimental design. To overcome previous study's methodological weaknesses, especially selection bias, I applied matching procedure based on a propensity-score matching. Matching process was performed by using 'MatchIt' software. The major findings are as follows From Least Squares Regression analysis, I found the poor's income are significantly different according to age, pre-intervention earning, material status, and participation of training. Since the poor have homogeneous education level, education variable was not statistically significant. From the Simulation Quantities of Interest analysis, I also found that treatment group's expected incomes are lower than control's expected incomes. In other words, participation of training has a negative effect on the participants' earnings.

본 연구는 국민기초생활보장법 하의 조건부 수급자가 자활직업훈련 프로그램의 참여로 인해 임금이 향상되었는지에 관해 실증적으로 분석 하였다. 분석 자료로는 한국노동연구원에서의 자활사업 참여자를 대상으로 한 '자활대상자 직업훈련 실태'조사와 한국보건사회연구원에서 실시하는 2004년 '자활패널'조사 자료를 결합하여 '자활직업훈련 실태'조사의 응답자를 실험그룹으로'자활패널'을 비교그룹으로 구성하여 분석하였으며, 기존 연구의 통계적 취약점을 극복하기 위해 Propensity Score Matching 방법을 이용하여 자활직업훈련의 임금효과를 분석하였다. 분석 결과 자활직업훈련 참가자들이 그와 비슷한 특성을 가진 비교그룹에 비해서 약 12만원 정도 소득이 낮음을 확인함으로써, 이러한 부정적인 효과가 나타난 원인과 의미에 대해서 논의하였다.