DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

북한지역에 대한 기상학적 가뭄지수의 적용

Application of Meteorological Drought Indices for North Korea

  • 남원호 (서울대학교 생태조경.지역시스템공학부 대학원) ;
  • 유승환 (서울대학교 생태조경.지역시스템공학부 대학원) ;
  • 장민원 (경상대학교 지역환경기반공학과) ;
  • 최진용 (서울대학교 생태조경.지역시스템공학부 대학원)
  • 발행 : 2008.05.31

초록

North Korea is one of the vulnerable countries facing the threat of a drought, so that it is unavoidable to experience fatal damage when drought is occurred, and it is necessary to improve the drought response capability of water resources systems. However, it is still difficult to find research efforts for drought characteristics and drought management in North Korea. This study is to quantify drought duration and magnitude and to analyze drought characteristics in North Korea. In order to quantitatively identify historical drought conditions and to evaluate their variability, drought indices are commonly used. In this study, drought indices including dry-day index, deciles of normal precipitation, Phillips drought index, standardized precipitation index and Palmer drought severity index are calculated and compared monthly using the weather data for the twenty one meteorological stations in North Korea. The indices compared with the drought damage records that have reported from 1990 to present to understand how the indices can explain the drought. A comparative study was also conducted to evaluate the relative severity of the significant droughts occurred during 2000 and 2001 which were reported as the worst drought in North Korea. Drought indices calculated from this study demonstrated that those can be the effective tools in quantitatively evaluating drought severity and measures of drought. Thus it is recommended the distributed trend of drought be considered when the plan or measures for drought in North Korea are established.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. 기상연구소, 1993, 우리나라 가뭄에 관한 연구
  2. 김상민, 박승우, 1999, 우리나라 주요 지점에 대 한 가뭄지수의 산정과 비교, 한국농공학회 논문집, 41(5), pp. 43-52
  3. 김현영, 1994, 과우량과 과우일수, 한국관개배수, 1(2), pp. 235-237
  4. 류재희, 이동률, 안재현, 윤용남, 2002, 가뭄평가 를 위한 가뭄지수의 비교 연구, 한국수자원학회논문집, 35(4), pp. 397-410
  5. 신수현, 2005, 다중시기 정규식생지수(NDVI)를 이용한 가뭄지수의 한반도 적용성 분석, 석사학 위 논문, 인하대학교
  6. 유원희, 2000, 유출량 계열을 이용한 가뭄 지수 산정, 석사학위 논문, 인하대학교
  7. 윤용남, 안재현, 이동률, 1997, Palmer의 방법을 이용한 가뭄의 분석, 한국수자원학회 논문집, 30(4), pp. 317-326
  8. 장민원, 유승환, 최진용, 2007, NOAA/AVHRR NDVI를 이용한 북한지역 봄가뭄 분석, 한국농공학회 논문집, 49(6), pp. 21-33 https://doi.org/10.5389/KSAE.2007.49.6.021
  9. 조홍제, 1996, 도시지역 용수관리를 위한 가뭄 예경보지수에 관한 연구, 한국수자원학회 논문집, 29(1), pp. 221-233
  10. 통일부, 2000, 주간북한동향
  11. 한국농촌경제연구원, 2001, 북한농업동향
  12. Delaware Comprehensive Water Resources Management Committee, 1983, The management of water resources in Delaware, Water conservation, water shortage subcommittee report, Document No.40-80/82/12/12
  13. FAO, 2001, Special Report: FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission to the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization
  14. Gibbs, W. M. & J. V. Maher, 1967, Rainfall deciles as drought indicators, Bureau of Meteorology, Bulletin no. 48. Melbourne
  15. Hershfield, D. M., D. L. Brakensiek & G. H. Comer, 1972, Some Measures of Agricultural Drought, Water Resources Publications
  16. McKee, T. B., N. J. Doesken & J. Kleist, 1993, The relationship of drought frequency and duration of time scales, 8th Conference on Applied Climatology, January, Aneheim, CA, pp. 179-184
  17. Palmer, W. C., 1965, Meteorological Drought, Research Paper No. 45, U.S. Weather Bureau
  18. Smith, D. I., M. F. Hutchinson & R. J. McArthur, 1993, Australian climatic and agricultural drought : Payments and policy, Drought Network News, 5(3), pp. 11-12
  19. UNDP, 2004, Reducing Disaster Risk: a challenge for development, United Nations Development Programme, Geneva
  20. Willeke, G., J. R. M. Hosking, J. R. Wallis & N. B. Guttman, 1994, The National Drought Atlas, Institute for Water Resources Report 94-NDS-4, U. S. Army Crops of Engineers

피인용 문헌

  1. Agricultural Drought Risk Assessment using Reservoir Drought Index vol.55, pp.3, 2013, https://doi.org/10.5389/KSAE.2013.55.3.041
  2. Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Drought Characteristics in the Hwanghae Plain, North Korea Using Time Series SPI and SPEI: 1981–2100 vol.9, pp.8, 2017, https://doi.org/10.3390/w9080579
  3. Analysis of Drought Intensity and Trends Using the Modified SPEI in South Korea from 1981 to 2010 vol.10, pp.3, 2018, https://doi.org/10.3390/w10030327
  4. Investigation of drought-vulnerable regions in North Korea using remote sensing and cloud computing climate data vol.190, pp.3, 2018, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-018-6466-0