대기 (Atmosphere)
- 제17권1호
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- Pages.87-99
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- 2007
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- 1598-3560(pISSN)
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- 2288-3266(eISSN)
황사농도 단기예측모델의 PM10 농도와 실측 PM10 농도의 비교 - 2006년 4월 7~9일 황사 현상에 대해 -
Comparison of ADAM's (Asian Dust Aerosol Model) Results with Observed PM10 Data
- 조창범 (기상청/국립기상연구소 태풍황사연구팀) ;
- 전영신 (기상청/국립기상연구소 태풍황사연구팀) ;
- 구본양 (기상청/국립기상연구소 태풍황사연구팀) ;
- 박순웅 (서울대학교 지구환경과학부) ;
- 이상삼 (서울대학교 지구환경과학부) ;
- 정연양 (광주지방기상청)
- Cho, Changbum (Typhoon and Asian Dust Research Team, National Institute of Meteorological Research) ;
- Chun, Youngsin (Typhoon and Asian Dust Research Team, National Institute of Meteorological Research) ;
- Ku, Bonyang (Typhoon and Asian Dust Research Team, National Institute of Meteorological Research) ;
- Park, Soon-Ung (School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University) ;
- Lee, Sang-Sam (School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University) ;
- Chung, Yun-Ang (Gwangju Regional Meteorological Administration)
- 투고 : 2006.12.18
- 심사 : 2007.03.09
- 발행 : 2007.03.31
초록
Simulation results of Asian Dust Aerosol Model (ADAM) for the period of April 7-9, 2006 were analyzed, comparing with observed PM10 data. ADAM simulated around ten times lower than on-site PM10 concentration in the source regions: Zhurihe, Tongliao, Yushe, Dalian and Huimin. As the result of this low concentration, transported amounts of Asian Dust were under-estimated as well. In order to quantify a forecasting accuracy, Bias and RMSE were calculated. Even though remarkably negative Biases and high RMSEs were observed, ADAM simulation had followed well up the time of dust outbreak and a transported path. However, the emission process to generate dust from source regions requires a great enhancement. The PM10 concentration at the surface reached up to