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신뢰성 기법을 이용한 지진으로 인한 사면 변위해석

Reliability Analysis of Seismically Induced Slope Deformations

  • Kim, Jin-Man (Dept. of Civil Engrg., Pusan National Univ.)
  • 발행 : 2007.03.31

초록

지진하중의 불확실성을 평가할 수 있는 신뢰성기반 해석기법을 제시한다. 이 기법은 종래의 한계평형법과 뉴막-형식의 변형량 계산기법에 확률개념을 도입하였으며 피해 위험성을 몬테칼로 시뮬레이션 해석기법으로 계산한다. 지진파를 작성하고 이들을 사면 내진 해석에 사용하고자 확률변수 프로세스와 RMS 재해 기법을 도입하였다. 지반성질의 변동성과 통계오차도 고려하였다. 신뢰성 해석 결과 지진활동이 활발한 지역에서는, 계산된 사면파괴 위험성과 과도한 영구변형의 관점에서 비교할 때 지진재해 평가가 더 중요한 사항이며, 재료성질의 모사방법의 차이는 상대적으로 영향이 적다는 사실이 밝혀졌다. 이 결과는 원형 및 비원형 형태의 활동면 파괴에 모두 해당된다.

The paper presents a reliability-based method that can capture the impact of uncertainty of seismic loadings. The proposed method incorporates probabilistic concepts into the classical limit equilibrium and the Newmark-type deformation techniques. The risk of damage is then computed by Monte Carlo simulation. Random process and RMS hazard method are introduced to produce seismic motions and also to use them in the seismic slope analyses. The geotechnical variability and sampling errors are also considered. The results of reliability analyses indicate that in a highly seismically active region, characterization of earthquake hazard is the more critical factor, and characterization of soil properties has a relatively small effect on the computed risk of slope failure and excessive slope deformations. The results can be applicable to both circular and non-circular slip surface failure modes.

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참고문헌

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