생태계 복원사업의 생태.경제 통합체계 동태분석(II) -임진강 참게 복원사업의 확장모형-

An Integrated Ecological-Economic System Dynamics Model Analysis on the Ecosystem Restoration Policy (II): Extensions and Relaxations of the Model of King Crabs in the Imjin River, Korea

  • 정회성 (한국환경정책.평가연구원) ;
  • 전대욱 (한국환경정책.평가연구원)
  • 발행 : 2006.12.31

초록

This paper deals with the extension of and discussion on the System Dynamics model (Jeong & Jeon, 2005) of river crabs in Korea. The previous model has been elaborated to empirically search for the optimal restoration and harvest rates of crabs in the Imjin River, on the basis of theoretical models of population dynamics in the field of bio-mathematics and environmental economics. In this paper, the authors tries to couple a series of new feedback loops related to density restrictions and cannibalistic behaviors with a stage-structured model of the crab ecosystem, and also to endogenize the parameter of baby crabs' survival that is caused by water quality improvement and income increase. Through these extensions and relaxations, the authors are able to argue about the strategic decision of the optimal rates additional considerations as well as the properties of the integrated system that was not covered in the previous paper.

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