New & Renewable Energy (신재생에너지)
- Volume 2 Issue 2 Serial No. 6
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- Pages.37-43
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- 2006
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- 1738-3935(pISSN)
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- 2713-9999(eISSN)
Development of the Wind Power Forecasting System, KIER Forecaster
풍력발전 예보시스템 KIER Forecaster의 개발
- Published : 2006.06.01
Abstract
In this paper, the first forecasting system of wind power generation, KIER Forecaster is presented. KIER Forecaster has been constructed based on statistical models and was trained with wind speed data observed at Gosan Weather Station nearby Walryong Site. Due to short period of measurements at Walryong Site for training the model, Gosan wind data were substituted and transplanted to Walryong Site by using Measure-Correlate-Predict(MCP) technique. The results of One to Three-hour advanced forecasting models are consistent with the measurement at Walryong site. In particular, the multiple regression model by classification of wind speed pattern, which has been developed in this work, shows the best performance comparing with neural network and auto-regressive models.
Keywords