대한토목학회논문집 (KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research)

  • 제26권6B호
  • /
  • Pages.583-596
  • /
  • 2006
  • /
  • 1015-6348(pISSN)
  • /
  • 2799-9629(eISSN)
대한토목학회 (Korean Society of Civil Engeneers)
권호 표지
DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

1973년부터 2004년까지의 관측된 대형증발량 자료 분석

Analysis of Pan Evaporation Data from 1973 to 2004 in South Korea

  • 김광섭 (경북대학교 토목공학과) ;
  • 임태경 (경북대학교 대학원 토목공학과)
  • 투고 : 2005.08.30
  • 심사 : 2006.08.30
  • 발행 : 2006.11.29
PDF 다운로드
⟨ 이전 논문 다음 논문 ⟩

초록

증발은 자연생태계의 에너지 및 물수지에서 중요한 역할을 담당하고 있고, 증발량의 변화에 관한 연구는 수자원의 계획 및 운영에 있어 중요한 요소이다. 본 연구에서는 1973-2004년, 32년간의 4월-10월 사이 7개월 동안의 증발량 평균값과 각 월별 증발량의 변화경향을 파악하고 추세 분석을 위해서 Mann-Kendall 검정을 실시하였다. 또한 증발과 관련된 기상요소들 즉 기온, 강수량, 습도, 전운량, 풍정합 등과의 상관관계도 분석하였다. 전 세계 여러 지역에서 관측된 바와 동일하게 기온 및 강수량이 증가함에도 불구하고 여수와 진주를 제외하고는 모든 관측지점에서 증발량은 감소경향을 나타내었다. 연구 결과는 팬 증발량의 감소가 실제 증발량의 증가를 나타낸다는 Brutsaert와 Parlange(1998)의 해석처럼 우리나라의 팬 증발량의 감소 경향은 실제 증발량의 증가를 나타낸다고 판단된다.

Evaporation is an essential parameter in Global water-energy cycle and the variability of evaporation affects water resources planning and managements. In this study, the temporal variability of pan evaporation data was analyzed and trend analysis of the data using Mann-Kendall test. The relationships among evaporation and rainfall, air temperature, humidity, cloudness were analyzed. Even though the longterm trends of air temperature and rainfall increases, that of evaporation except Jinju and Yeosoo results decreases as worldwide observations. Results demonstrate that decrease of pan evaporation represents increase of terrestrial evaporation as Brutsaert and Parlange(1998)'s analysis.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. 이부용(2002) 대형증발계 증발량 일 변화. 한국기상학회보, 대기, 한국기상학회, 제12권 제3호, pp. 192-196
  2. Brutsaert, W. and Parlange, M.B. (1998) Hydrological cycle explains the evaporation paradox. Nature, Vol. 396, pp. 30 https://doi.org/10.1038/23845
  3. Chattopadhyay, N. and Hulme, M. (1997) Evaporation and potential evapotranspiration in India under conditions of recent and future climate change. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Vol. 87, pp. 55-72 https://doi.org/10.1016/S0168-1923(97)00006-3
  4. Cohen, S., Ianetz, A., and Stanhill, G. (2002) Evaporative climate changes at Bet Dagan, Israel: 1964-1998. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Vol. 111, pp. 83-91 https://doi.org/10.1016/S0168-1923(02)00016-3
  5. Dietz, E.J. and Kileen, A. (1981) A Nonparametric Multivariate Test for Monotone Trend with Pharmaceutical Applications. Journal of the American Statistical Association. Vol. 76, pp. 169-174 https://doi.org/10.2307/2287063
  6. Folland, C.K., Karl, T.R., Christy, R.A, Clarke, RA, Gruza, G.V., Jouzel, J., Mann, M.E., Oerlemans, J., Salinger, M.J., and Wang, S-W. (2001) Observed climate variability and change. In Climate Change 2001. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK, pp. 99-181
  7. Gibbons, J.D. (1990) Handbook of statistical methods for engineers and scientists. McGrawHill, ed. pp. 11.1-11.26
  8. Hirsch, R.M. and Slack, J.R. (1984) A nonparametric trend test for seasonal data with serial dependence. Water Resources Research, Vol. 20, pp. 727-732 https://doi.org/10.1029/WR020i006p00727
  9. Mann, H.B. (1945) Nonparametric Tests Against Trend. Econometrica, Vol. 13, pp. 245-259 https://doi.org/10.2307/1907187
  10. Menne, M.J., Peterson, T.C., and Malone, R.W. (2001) Evaporation changes over the contiguous United States and the former USSR: A reassessment. Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 28, pp. 2665-2668 https://doi.org/10.1029/2000GL012851
  11. Moonen A.C., Ercoli L., Mariotti M., and Masoni A (2002) Climate change in Italy indicated by agrometeorological indices over 122 years. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Vol. 111, pp. 13-27 https://doi.org/10.1016/S0168-1923(02)00012-6
  12. Peterson, T.C., Golubev, V.S., and Groisman, P.Y. (1995) Evaporation losing its strength. Nature, Vol. 377, pp. 687-688
  13. Robock, A, Konstantin, VY., Srinivasan, G., Entin, J.K., Hollinger, S.E., Speranskaya, N.A., Liu, S.X., and Namkhai, A (2000) The global soil moisture data bank. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 81, pp. 1281-1299 https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(2000)081<1281:TGSMDB>2.3.CO;2
  14. Roderick, M.L. and Farquhar, G.D. (2002) The cause of decreased pan evaporation over the past 50 years. Science, Vol. 298, pp. 1410-1411
  15. Roderick, M.L. and Farquhar, G.D. (2004) Changes in Australian pan evaporation from 1970 to 2002. International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 24, pp. 1077-1090 https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1061
  16. Stocker, T.F., Clarke, G.K.C., Le Treut, H., Lindzen, R.S., Meleshko, V.P., Mugara, R.K., Palmer, T.N., Pierrehumbert, R.T., Sellers, P.J., Trenberth, K.E., and Willebrand, J. (2001) Physical climate processes and feedbacks. In Climate Change 2001. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK pp. 417-470
  17. Thomas, A (2000) Spatial and temporal characteristics of potential evapotranspiration trends over China. International Jouranl of Climatology. Vol. 20, pp. 381-396 https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(20000330)20:4<381::AID-JOC477>3.0.CO;2-K
  18. Xu, J. (2001) An analysis of climatic changes in Eastern Asia using the potential evaporation. Journal of Japan Society of Hydrology and Water Resources, Vol. 14, pp. 141-170