조건부 로짓함수를 이용한 경관선호 모델: 지리산 국립공원 방문자를 대상으로

Formulating the Landscape Preference Model Using a Mixed Conditional Logit

  • 이덕재 (동국대학교 생태환경연구센터)
  • Lee, Deokjae (Ecology Research Centre, Dongguk University)
  • 투고 : 2006.09.27
  • 심사 : 2006.11.04
  • 발행 : 2006.12.30

초록

이 연구는 지리산 국립공원 방문자를 대상으로 경관선호 모델을 형성하기 위하여, 지리산 경관과 영국의 케이른고럼스 경관의 선택적 상황에서 경관선호를 결정하게 하는 요소로서 시각적 경관 요소와 더불어 경관자체의 효과를 검증하는 조건부 로짓모델을 제시하는데 그 목적이 있다. 선택적 상황에 따른 경관선호를 측정하기 위하여 지리산 국립공원을 방문한 탐방객에 대하여 영국의 케이른고럼스 국립공원의 경관사진과 지리산 경관사진을 쌍체로 배열한 사진설문조사를 실시하였다. 시각적 경관의 구성요소는 디지털사진측정의 과정을 거쳐 상호 수직적인 주요인들로 축약되어, 모델의 설명변수로 사용되었다. 연구의 결과, 시각적 경관의 구성요소만으로 형성되는 일반조건부로짓모델은 비유관대안도립성(IIA)의 가정을 충족하지 못하고, 모델의 설명력이 낮게 나타났다(${\rho}^2=0.06$). 반면, 대안특성상수(ASC)로서 표현되는 경관자체의 효과를 포함하는 혼합조건부로짓모델은 비유관대안독립성(IIA)의 가정을 충족하였고, 모델의 적합성 또한 양호하게 나타났다(${\rho}^2=0.25$). 이는 경관선호모델에 있어서 선호의 요인으로써 시각적 경관의 구성요소 뿐만 아니라, 경관자체의 효과를 포함하는 혼합조건부로짓모델이 적합한 것으로 해석된다.

The purpose of this study lies in formulating the landscape preference model using a conditional logit that involves the effect of visual elements as well as landscape itself on landscape preferences. To measure landscape preferences, a photo-questionnaire composed of paired photographs of the Cairngorms National Park of Scotland and the Jirisan National Park of Korea was distributed to visitors to the Jirisan National Park of Korea. Visual elements of landscape quantitatively measured by photogrammetry were reduced to orthogonal principal components that were subsequently used as explanatory variables in a conditional logit. As a result, the mixed conditional logit including the effect of landscape itself satisfied the Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives (IIA) property and showed reliable goodness of fit (${\rho}^2=0.25$). It was concluded that the mixed conditional logit including the effect of landscape itself was appropriate for landscape preference model rather than usual conditional logit excluding the effect.

키워드

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