지역의 생태지향적 발전전략 평가를 위한 체계동태모형의 정립과 적용 -담양군 대나무 신산업 육성전략의 파급효과 분석-

An Application of System Dynamics Modeling to the Measurement of the effectiveness of Local Regional Sustainable Development Strategies: A Case of the Revival of Bamboo Industry in Damyang, JeollaNamdo

With the purpose of long-range planning toward local/regional sustainable development, it is desired to avoid unconditional industrialization and expansion and to build an eco-oriented development strategy considering site-specific characteristics of the environment. This paper thus aims at the elaboration of a system dynamics model of a locality/region so as to understand inherent dynamics of sustainable development and to assess the effectiveness of such an eco-oriented strategy. The model thus consists of several positive and negative feedback loops that accelerate or restrict local/regional economic growth within a system boundary incorporating the environment, economy, and society. The model is moreover applied to the assessment of the effectiveness of the development plan recently established in Damyang in JeollaNamdo, Korea. It is regarded in this case to be effective for population immigration and economic prosperity to give priority to restore the bamboo ecosystem and nourish a series of eco-friendly industries based on the bamboo items developed recently. It is also to be positive to sustainable development since it enables to maintain high quality of the environment from the outset of their development steps.