감육현상을 고려한 가스배관의 파손확률 평가

Failure Probability Assessment of Gas Pipelines Considering Wall-Thinning Phenomenon

  • 이상민 (성균관대학교 기계공학부) ;
  • 윤강옥 (성균관대학교 기계공학부) ;
  • 장윤석 (성균관대학교 기계공학부) ;
  • 최재붕 (성균관대학교 기계공학부) ;
  • 김영진 (성균관대학교 기계공학부)
  • 발행 : 2005.10.01

초록

Pressurized gas pipeline is subject to harmful effects both of the surrounding environment and of the materials transmitted in them. In order to maintain the integrity, reliable assessment procedures including tincture mechanics analysis etc are required. Up to now, the integrity assessment has been performed using conventional deterministic approaches even though there are many uncertainties to hinder a rational evaluation. In this respect, probabilistic approach is considered as an appropriate method for gas pipeline evaluation. The objectives of this paper are to estimate the failure probability of corroded pipeline in gas and oil plants and to propose limited operating conditions under different types of leadings. To do this, a probabilistic assessment program using reliability index and simulation techniques was developed and applied to evaluate failure probabilities of corroded API-5L-X52/X60 gas pipelines subjected to internal pressure, bending moment and combined loading. The evaluation results showed a promising applicability of the probabilistic integrity assessment program.

키워드

참고문헌

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