DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Small Area Estimation Techniques Based on Logistic Model to Estimate Unemployment Rate

  • Kim, Young-Won (Department of Statistics, Sookmyung Women’s University) ;
  • Choi, Hyung-a (Department of Statistics, Sookmyung Women’s University)
  • 발행 : 2004.12.01

초록

For the Korean Economically Active Population Survey(EAPS), we consider the composite estimator based on logistic regression model to estimate the unemployment rate for small areas(Si/Gun). Also, small area estimation technique based on hierarchical generalized linear model is proposed to include the random effect which reflect the characteristic of the small areas. The proposed estimation techniques are applied to real domestic data which is from the Korean EAPS of Choongbuk. The MSE of these estimators are estimated by Jackknife method, and the efficiencies of small area estimators are evaluated by the RRMSE. As a result, the composite estimator based on logistic model is much more efficient than others and it turns out that the composite estimator can produce the reliable estimates under the current EAPS system.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. 김영원, 성나영 (2000). 소지역 통계 생산을 위한 추정 방법. Journal of the Korean Data and lriformation Science Society, 11, 111-126
  2. 김영원, 조란 (2004). Small Area Estimation of Unemployment rate for the Economically Active Population Survey, Journal of the Korean Data and lriformation Science Society, 15, 1-10
  3. 김종태, 이상은 (2001). 소지역 추정법에 관한 비교 연구, Journal of the Korean Data and lriformation Science Society, 12, 47-55
  4. 이계오, 류제복, 김영원 (2001). 소지역 실업률 추정 기법 및 전산 프로그램 개발 보고서, [노동부 학술연구용역보고서]
  5. 정연수, 이계오, 이우일 (2003) 시군구 실업자 총계 추정을 위한 설계기반 간접추정법, [응용통계연구], 16, 1-14정여 https://doi.org/10.5351/KJAS.2003.16.1.001
  6. Ambler, R. C., Chambers, D., Kovacevic, M. (2001). Combining Unemployment Benefits Data and LFS Data to Estimate ILO Unemployment for Small Areas; An Application of a Modified Fay-Herriot Method, Bulletin of the lSI 2001, 128-138
  7. Besag,J . (1974). Spatial Interaction and the Statistical Analysis of Lattice Systems, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 36, 192-236
  8. Chung, Y. S., Lee K-O., and Kim, B. C. (2003). Adjustment of Unemployment Estimates Based on Small Area Estimation in Korea, Survey Methodology, 29, 45-52
  9. Drew, D., Singh, M. P. and Choudhry, G. H. (1982). Evaluation of Small Area Estimation Techniques for the Canadian Labour Force Survey, Survey Methodology, 8, 17-47
  10. Ghosh, M. and Rao, J .N. K (1994). Small Area Estimation: An Appraisal, Statistical Science, 9, 55-93 https://doi.org/10.1214/ss/1177010647
  11. Ghosh, M., Natarajan, K, Stroud, T. W. F. and Carlin, B. P. (1998). Generalized Linear Models for Small-Area Estimation. Journal of American Statistical Association, 93, 273-282 https://doi.org/10.2307/2669623
  12. Jiang, J, Lahiri, P., Wan, S_M., Wu, C-H. (2001). Jackknifing in the Fay-Herriot Model with an Example. Technical Report, Department of Statistics, University of Nebraska
  13. Jiang, J, Lahiri, P., Wan, S_M., Wu, C-H. (2001). Jackknifing in the Fay-Herriot Model with an Example. Technical Report, Department of Statistics, University of Nebraska
  14. Lee, Y. and NeIder, J .A. (1996). Hierarchical Generalized Linear Models (with discussion)
  15. Rao, J, N. K. (2003). Small Area Estimation, John Wiley & Sons, New York

피인용 문헌

  1. Generalized kernel estimating equation for panel estimation of small area unemployment rates vol.24, pp.6, 2013, https://doi.org/10.7465/jkdi.2013.24.6.1199
  2. Logistic Regression Type Small Area Estimations Based on Relative Error vol.24, pp.3, 2011, https://doi.org/10.5351/KJAS.2011.24.3.445