A Time-Series Study of Ambient Air Pollution in Relation to Daily Mortality in Seoul, 1998∼2001

서울시 대기오염과 일별 사망의 상관성에 관한 시계열적 연구 (1998∼2001년)

  • Cho, Yong-Sung (Institute of Environmental and Industrial Medicine, Hanyang University) ;
  • Lee, Jong-Tae (Department of Preventive Medicine, Ewha Womans University) ;
  • Kim, Yoon-Sin (Institute of Environmental and Industrial Medicine, Hanyang University) ;
  • Hong, Seung-Cheol (Institute of Environmental and Industrial Medicine, Hanyang University) ;
  • Kim, Ho (Department of Epidemiology and Biostastistics, Institute of Public Health) ;
  • Ha, Eun-Hee (Department of Preventive Medicine, Ewha Womans University) ;
  • Park, Hye-Sook (Department of Preventive Medicine, Ewha Womans University) ;
  • Lee, Bo-Eun (Department of Preventive Medicine, Ewha Womans University)
  • 조용성 (한양대학교 환경 및 산업의학연구소) ;
  • 이종태 (이화여자대학교 의과대학 예방의학교실) ;
  • 김윤신 (한양대학교 환경 및 산업의학연구소) ;
  • 홍승철 (한양대학교 환경 및 산업의학연구소) ;
  • 김호 (서울대학교 보건대학원 역학 및 보건통계학과) ;
  • 하은희 (이화여자대학교 의과대학 예방의학교실) ;
  • 박혜숙 (이화여자대학교 의과대학 예방의학교실) ;
  • 이보은 (이화여자대학교 의과대학 예방의학교실)
  • Published : 2003.12.01

Abstract

This study was performed to examine the relationship between air pollution exposure and mortality in Seoul for the years of 1998∼2001. Daily counts of death were analyzed by general additive Poisson model, with adjustment for effects of seasonal trend, air temperature, humidity, and day of the week as confounders in a nonparametric approach. Daily death counts were associated with CO (current day),O$_3$ (current day), PM$_{10}$ (current day), NO$_2$ (1 day before), SO$_2$ (1 day before). Increase of 41.71 $\mu\textrm{g}$/㎥ (interquartile range) in PM$_{10}$ was associated with 1.3% (95% CI = 0.7∼1.9%) increase in the daily number of death. $O_3$ concentrations resulted in an increased risk of 1.3% for 23.86 ppb in all-aged mortality [RR = 1.013 (1.004-1.023)1. This effect was greater in children (less than 15 aged) and elderly (more than 65 aged). After ozone level exceeds 25 ppb, the dose-response relationship between mortality and ozone was almost linear. We concluded that Seoul had 1∼5% increase in mortality in association with IQR (interquartile range) in air pollutants. Daily variations in air pollution within the range currently occurring in Seoul might have an adverse effect on daily mortality. These findings also support the hypothesis that air pollution, at levels below the current ambient air quality standards of Korea, is harmful to sensitive subjects, such as children or elderly.rly.

Keywords

References

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