자원ㆍ환경경제연구 (Environmental and Resource Economics Review)
- 제11권4호
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- Pages.557-579
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- 2002
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- 1229-9146(pISSN)
세계목재시장이 지구온난화에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구
The Impact of the Global Timber Market on Global Warming: A Dynamic Integrated Modeling Approach
초록
In recent days, it has been significantly suggested that the promotion of sustainable forest management will play an important role in ameliorating atmospheric carbon. In this respect, we intend to investigate the dynamic impact of the global timber market on carbon flux of forest through net carbon release into the atmosphere. For this purpose, we integrated the TSM 2000 with TCM to simulate the projection of net carbon release of the global timber market over 90 years, starting 1995. As a result, we identified that the global timber market increases the carbon dioxide concentration about l.9% over next 90 years; hence results in a positive effect on global warming. For sensitivity analysis, we performed these procedures under three different timber demand growth scenarios.
키워드