초록
본 연구에서는 도시부도로 신호교차로의 대기행렬을 단기(one cycle ahead)예측함에 있어 단일검지체계에 기반을 둔 한 지점의 시계열적 패턴을 갖는 검지자료(detection data)를 학습자료로 구성할 경우와 통합차량검지체계하에 기반을 둔 시공간적 상관관계를 갖는 검지자료를 학습자료로 이용할 경우를 가정하여 이에 대한 인공신경망의 학습능력과 예측능력을 비교하였다. 연구결과는 도시부도로 신호교차로상에서 차량군(platoon)의 이동에 따라 발생되는 시공간적인 상관관계를 갖는 교통류변수 $\ulcorner$상류유입교통량(k-1)->통행시간(k-1)->대기행렬(k)->유출교통량(k)->대기행렬(k+1)$\lrcorner$를 인공신경망의 학습자료로 구성할 경우, 교통류 패턴의 학습능력이 뛰어난 것으로 밝혀졌다.
The Purpose of this study is to analyze wether the composition of training sample have a relation with the Predictive ability and the learning results of ANNs(Artificial Neural Networks) fur predicting one cycle ahead of the queue length(veh.) in a signalized intersection. In this study, ANNs\` training sample is classified into the assumption of two cases. The first is to utilize time-series(Per cycle) data of queue length which would be detected by one detector (loop or video) The second is to use time-space correlated data(such as: a upstream feed-in flow, a link travel time, a approach maximum stationary queue length, a departure volume) which would be detected by a integrative vehicle detection systems (loop detector, video detector, RFIDs) which would be installed between the upstream node(intersection) and downstream node. The major findings from this paper is In Daechi Intersection(GangNamGu, Seoul), in the case of ANNs\` training sample constructed by time-space correlated data between the upstream node(intersection) and downstream node, the pattern recognition ability of an interrupted traffic flow is better.