천문학논총 (Publications of The Korean Astronomical Society)
- 제14권2호
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- Pages.91-102
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- 1999
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- 1225-1534(pISSN)
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- 2287-6936(eISSN)
통계 및 프리커서 방법을 이용한 제23주기 태양활동예보
PREDICTION OF 23RD SOLAR CYCLE USING THE STATISTICAL AND PRECURSOR METHOD
- JANG SE JIN (Department of Astronomy & Space Science, Kyung Hee University) ;
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KIM KAP-SUNG
(Department of Astronomy & Space Science, Kyung Hee University)
- 발행 : 1999.12.01
초록
We have made intensive calculations on the maximum relative sunspot number and the date of solar maximum of 23rd solar cycle, by using the statistical and precursor methods to predict solar activity cycle. According to our results of solar data processing by statistical method, solar maximum comes at between February and July of 2000 year and at that time, the smoothed sunspot number will reach to